Ongoing US-Iran tensions, including strikes earlier in 2026, a fragile April ceasefire, the June Islamabad Memorandum, and renewed clashes over Strait of Hormuz access into August, have kept bilateral relations at a historic low with no formal diplomatic ties since 1980. Persistent State Department security alerts advising Americans to depart or shelter in place, continued sanctions targeting Iranian entities in early August, and the absence of any announced embassy restoration initiatives or Senate actions reinforce trader consensus at 95.5% against reopening this year. While a verifiable major diplomatic breakthrough or comprehensive normalization agreement before year-end could theoretically shift odds, the current environment of naval blockades, proxy frictions, and unresolved nuclear and regional disputes makes such an outcome highly improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
5% โอกาส
$158,294 ปริมาณ
$158,294 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
5% โอกาส
$158,294 ปริมาณ
$158,294 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran tensions, including strikes earlier in 2026, a fragile April ceasefire, the June Islamabad Memorandum, and renewed clashes over Strait of Hormuz access into August, have kept bilateral relations at a historic low with no formal diplomatic ties since 1980. Persistent State Department security alerts advising Americans to depart or shelter in place, continued sanctions targeting Iranian entities in early August, and the absence of any announced embassy restoration initiatives or Senate actions reinforce trader consensus at 95.5% against reopening this year. While a verifiable major diplomatic breakthrough or comprehensive normalization agreement before year-end could theoretically shift odds, the current environment of naval blockades, proxy frictions, and unresolved nuclear and regional disputes makes such an outcome highly improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$158,294วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran tensions, including strikes earlier in 2026, a fragile April ceasefire, the June Islamabad Memorandum, and renewed clashes over Strait of Hormuz access into August, have kept bilateral relations at a historic low with no formal diplomatic ties since 1980. Persistent State Department security alerts advising Americans to depart or shelter in place, continued sanctions targeting Iranian entities in early August, and the absence of any announced embassy restoration initiatives or Senate actions reinforce trader consensus at 95.5% against reopening this year. While a verifiable major diplomatic breakthrough or comprehensive normalization agreement before year-end could theoretically shift odds, the current environment of naval blockades, proxy frictions, and unresolved nuclear and regional disputes makes such an outcome highly improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$158,294วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran tensions, including strikes earlier in 2026, a fragile April ceasefire, the June Islamabad Memorandum, and renewed clashes over Strait of Hormuz access into August, have kept bilateral relations at a historic low with no formal diplomatic ties since 1980. Persistent State Department security alerts advising Americans to depart or shelter in place, continued sanctions targeting Iranian entities in early August, and the absence of any announced embassy restoration initiatives or Senate actions reinforce trader consensus at 95.5% against reopening this year. While a verifiable major diplomatic breakthrough or comprehensive normalization agreement before year-end could theoretically shift odds, the current environment of naval blockades, proxy frictions, and unresolved nuclear and regional disputes makes such an outcome highly improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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