Iran’s position that uranium enrichment is a sovereign right has remained a central sticking point in 2025–2026 U.S.-Iran nuclear talks, including rounds mediated by Oman and later Pakistan. Recent June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum and Swiss technical sessions produced agreement on resuming IAEA inspections and maintaining the nuclear program’s status quo, yet left enrichment limits unresolved, with Iran rejecting U.S. proposals for zero or offshore enrichment. Ongoing IAEA reporting of continued high-level enrichment activity and the absence of any binding commitment to a full halt by year-end underpin trader consensus that no such agreement will materialize before December 31.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว15% โอกาส
$1,576,024 ปริมาณ
$1,576,024 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
15% โอกาส
$1,576,024 ปริมาณ
$1,576,024 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran’s position that uranium enrichment is a sovereign right has remained a central sticking point in 2025–2026 U.S.-Iran nuclear talks, including rounds mediated by Oman and later Pakistan. Recent June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum and Swiss technical sessions produced agreement on resuming IAEA inspections and maintaining the nuclear program’s status quo, yet left enrichment limits unresolved, with Iran rejecting U.S. proposals for zero or offshore enrichment. Ongoing IAEA reporting of continued high-level enrichment activity and the absence of any binding commitment to a full halt by year-end underpin trader consensus that no such agreement will materialize before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,576,024วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran’s position that uranium enrichment is a sovereign right has remained a central sticking point in 2025–2026 U.S.-Iran nuclear talks, including rounds mediated by Oman and later Pakistan. Recent June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum and Swiss technical sessions produced agreement on resuming IAEA inspections and maintaining the nuclear program’s status quo, yet left enrichment limits unresolved, with Iran rejecting U.S. proposals for zero or offshore enrichment. Ongoing IAEA reporting of continued high-level enrichment activity and the absence of any binding commitment to a full halt by year-end underpin trader consensus that no such agreement will materialize before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,576,024วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s position that uranium enrichment is a sovereign right has remained a central sticking point in 2025–2026 U.S.-Iran nuclear talks, including rounds mediated by Oman and later Pakistan. Recent June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum and Swiss technical sessions produced agreement on resuming IAEA inspections and maintaining the nuclear program’s status quo, yet left enrichment limits unresolved, with Iran rejecting U.S. proposals for zero or offshore enrichment. Ongoing IAEA reporting of continued high-level enrichment activity and the absence of any binding commitment to a full halt by year-end underpin trader consensus that no such agreement will materialize before December 31.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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