Despite recent threats from Iranian lawmakers and officials to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) in response to U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear and industrial sites in late March 2026, Tehran has taken no concrete steps toward exit as of mid-May. Iran continues to abide by IAEA safeguards, submitting working papers for the ongoing 2026 NPT Review Conference preparatory meetings and facing criticism in a February IAEA report without escalation to formal withdrawal procedures. Trader consensus at 87.5% "No" reflects historical patterns where such rhetoric serves as leverage in stalled JCPOA revival talks and sanctions disputes, amid high diplomatic and economic costs of actual departure before 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
$121,542 ปริมาณ
$121,542 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$121,542 ปริมาณ
$121,542 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Despite recent threats from Iranian lawmakers and officials to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) in response to U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear and industrial sites in late March 2026, Tehran has taken no concrete steps toward exit as of mid-May. Iran continues to abide by IAEA safeguards, submitting working papers for the ongoing 2026 NPT Review Conference preparatory meetings and facing criticism in a February IAEA report without escalation to formal withdrawal procedures. Trader consensus at 87.5% "No" reflects historical patterns where such rhetoric serves as leverage in stalled JCPOA revival talks and sanctions disputes, amid high diplomatic and economic costs of actual departure before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$121,542วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Despite recent threats from Iranian lawmakers and officials to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) in response to U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear and industrial sites in late March 2026, Tehran has taken no concrete steps toward exit as of mid-May. Iran continues to abide by IAEA safeguards, submitting working papers for the ongoing 2026 NPT Review Conference preparatory meetings and facing criticism in a February IAEA report without escalation to formal withdrawal procedures. Trader consensus at 87.5% "No" reflects historical patterns where such rhetoric serves as leverage in stalled JCPOA revival talks and sanctions disputes, amid high diplomatic and economic costs of actual departure before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$121,542วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite recent threats from Iranian lawmakers and officials to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) in response to U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear and industrial sites in late March 2026, Tehran has taken no concrete steps toward exit as of mid-May. Iran continues to abide by IAEA safeguards, submitting working papers for the ongoing 2026 NPT Review Conference preparatory meetings and facing criticism in a February IAEA report without escalation to formal withdrawal procedures. Trader consensus at 87.5% "No" reflects historical patterns where such rhetoric serves as leverage in stalled JCPOA revival talks and sanctions disputes, amid high diplomatic and economic costs of actual departure before 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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