US-Iran tensions remain elevated following the 2026 conflict that began with joint US-Israeli strikes in February and featured a June memorandum of understanding aimed at halting hostilities, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and advancing nuclear talks. That accord broke down amid renewed attacks on shipping, US strikes, and Iranian actions in the strait, with President Trump recently demanding compensation from Tehran as a precondition for further progress while negotiations have stalled. No congressional declaration of war has occurred despite sustained military operations, reflecting historical US patterns of conducting strikes without formal declarations. Upcoming diplomatic efforts and any escalation over energy routes or nuclear issues could influence trader assessments of whether an official declaration materializes by the market's resolution date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วสหรัฐฯจะประกาศสงครามกับอิหร่านอย่างเป็นทางการโดย...?
สหรัฐฯจะประกาศสงครามกับอิหร่านอย่างเป็นทางการโดย...?
$7,764,533 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
31 ธันวาคม
3%
$7,764,533 ปริมาณ
31 ธันวาคม
$791,899 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran tensions remain elevated following the 2026 conflict that began with joint US-Israeli strikes in February and featured a June memorandum of understanding aimed at halting hostilities, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and advancing nuclear talks. That accord broke down amid renewed attacks on shipping, US strikes, and Iranian actions in the strait, with President Trump recently demanding compensation from Tehran as a precondition for further progress while negotiations have stalled. No congressional declaration of war has occurred despite sustained military operations, reflecting historical US patterns of conducting strikes without formal declarations. Upcoming diplomatic efforts and any escalation over energy routes or nuclear issues could influence trader assessments of whether an official declaration materializes by the market's resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,764,533วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran tensions remain elevated following the 2026 conflict that began with joint US-Israeli strikes in February and featured a June memorandum of understanding aimed at halting hostilities, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and advancing nuclear talks. That accord broke down amid renewed attacks on shipping, US strikes, and Iranian actions in the strait, with President Trump recently demanding compensation from Tehran as a precondition for further progress while negotiations have stalled. No congressional declaration of war has occurred despite sustained military operations, reflecting historical US patterns of conducting strikes without formal declarations. Upcoming diplomatic efforts and any escalation over energy routes or nuclear issues could influence trader assessments of whether an official declaration materializes by the market's resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,764,533วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran tensions remain elevated following the 2026 conflict that began with joint US-Israeli strikes in February and featured a June memorandum of understanding aimed at halting hostilities, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and advancing nuclear talks. That accord broke down amid renewed attacks on shipping, US strikes, and Iranian actions in the strait, with President Trump recently demanding compensation from Tehran as a precondition for further progress while negotiations have stalled. No congressional declaration of war has occurred despite sustained military operations, reflecting historical US patterns of conducting strikes without formal declarations. Upcoming diplomatic efforts and any escalation over energy routes or nuclear issues could influence trader assessments of whether an official declaration materializes by the market's resolution date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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