Iran’s presidential terms run four years, with the most recent contest in 2024 seating Masoud Pezeshkian and fixing the next regular election for 2028. Early balloting requires specific triggers such as the incumbent’s death, resignation, or incapacity—none of which apply under current conditions. The February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and subsequent March selection of Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts produced leadership continuity without altering the presidential schedule or activating Guardian Council procedures for an unscheduled vote. Traders therefore see minimal near-term catalysts, as institutional rules and the absence of political or constitutional pressures keep the probability of an election by mid-2026 low absent unforeseen developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Iran hold a presidential election by...?
Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?
$767,367 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
5%
$767,367 ปริมาณ
December 31
$153 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran’s presidential terms run four years, with the most recent contest in 2024 seating Masoud Pezeshkian and fixing the next regular election for 2028. Early balloting requires specific triggers such as the incumbent’s death, resignation, or incapacity—none of which apply under current conditions. The February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and subsequent March selection of Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts produced leadership continuity without altering the presidential schedule or activating Guardian Council procedures for an unscheduled vote. Traders therefore see minimal near-term catalysts, as institutional rules and the absence of political or constitutional pressures keep the probability of an election by mid-2026 low absent unforeseen developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$767,367วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran’s presidential terms run four years, with the most recent contest in 2024 seating Masoud Pezeshkian and fixing the next regular election for 2028. Early balloting requires specific triggers such as the incumbent’s death, resignation, or incapacity—none of which apply under current conditions. The February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and subsequent March selection of Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts produced leadership continuity without altering the presidential schedule or activating Guardian Council procedures for an unscheduled vote. Traders therefore see minimal near-term catalysts, as institutional rules and the absence of political or constitutional pressures keep the probability of an election by mid-2026 low absent unforeseen developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$767,367วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s presidential terms run four years, with the most recent contest in 2024 seating Masoud Pezeshkian and fixing the next regular election for 2028. Early balloting requires specific triggers such as the incumbent’s death, resignation, or incapacity—none of which apply under current conditions. The February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and subsequent March selection of Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts produced leadership continuity without altering the presidential schedule or activating Guardian Council procedures for an unscheduled vote. Traders therefore see minimal near-term catalysts, as institutional rules and the absence of political or constitutional pressures keep the probability of an election by mid-2026 low absent unforeseen developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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