President Masoud Pezeshkian remains in office following his 2024 victory, with no death, resignation, or incapacitation triggering the constitutional requirement for a snap election within 50 days under Guardian Council oversight. Recent months have shown no verified leadership vacuum or institutional pressure to accelerate the cycle, whose standard four-year interval points to 2028. Trader consensus at 98.2% on "No" aligns with this continuity, as public engagements and absence of qualifying events through mid-May 2026 have reinforced stability. Shifts remain possible only from abrupt health developments, removal, or major escalations compelling abdication, though none are currently indicated within the June 30 window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
$389,593 ปริมาณ
$389,593 ปริมาณ
$389,593 ปริมาณ
$389,593 ปริมาณ
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Masoud Pezeshkian remains in office following his 2024 victory, with no death, resignation, or incapacitation triggering the constitutional requirement for a snap election within 50 days under Guardian Council oversight. Recent months have shown no verified leadership vacuum or institutional pressure to accelerate the cycle, whose standard four-year interval points to 2028. Trader consensus at 98.2% on "No" aligns with this continuity, as public engagements and absence of qualifying events through mid-May 2026 have reinforced stability. Shifts remain possible only from abrupt health developments, removal, or major escalations compelling abdication, though none are currently indicated within the June 30 window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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