Recent U.S.-brokered ceasefire talks between Israel and Lebanon, including high-level trilateral meetings in early June 2026, have produced agreements for Hezbollah to halt attacks and withdraw from southern sectors in exchange for limits on Israeli strikes near Beirut. These developments, following earlier ordered departures of non-emergency embassy personnel amid Iran-related tensions, have stabilized the security environment enough for the mission to continue operating with essential staff. Traders assign 97.2% probability to no full evacuation by June 30 because no new directives or major escalations have emerged in the past two weeks. A rapid ceasefire collapse, large-scale Hezbollah rocket or drone barrages, or direct Iranian-linked threats could still prompt reassessment before the deadline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
$82,699 ปริมาณ
$82,699 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
$82,699 ปริมาณ
$82,699 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Recent U.S.-brokered ceasefire talks between Israel and Lebanon, including high-level trilateral meetings in early June 2026, have produced agreements for Hezbollah to halt attacks and withdraw from southern sectors in exchange for limits on Israeli strikes near Beirut. These developments, following earlier ordered departures of non-emergency embassy personnel amid Iran-related tensions, have stabilized the security environment enough for the mission to continue operating with essential staff. Traders assign 97.2% probability to no full evacuation by June 30 because no new directives or major escalations have emerged in the past two weeks. A rapid ceasefire collapse, large-scale Hezbollah rocket or drone barrages, or direct Iranian-linked threats could still prompt reassessment before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$82,699วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Recent U.S.-brokered ceasefire talks between Israel and Lebanon, including high-level trilateral meetings in early June 2026, have produced agreements for Hezbollah to halt attacks and withdraw from southern sectors in exchange for limits on Israeli strikes near Beirut. These developments, following earlier ordered departures of non-emergency embassy personnel amid Iran-related tensions, have stabilized the security environment enough for the mission to continue operating with essential staff. Traders assign 97.2% probability to no full evacuation by June 30 because no new directives or major escalations have emerged in the past two weeks. A rapid ceasefire collapse, large-scale Hezbollah rocket or drone barrages, or direct Iranian-linked threats could still prompt reassessment before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$82,699วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-brokered ceasefire talks between Israel and Lebanon, including high-level trilateral meetings in early June 2026, have produced agreements for Hezbollah to halt attacks and withdraw from southern sectors in exchange for limits on Israeli strikes near Beirut. These developments, following earlier ordered departures of non-emergency embassy personnel amid Iran-related tensions, have stabilized the security environment enough for the mission to continue operating with essential staff. Traders assign 97.2% probability to no full evacuation by June 30 because no new directives or major escalations have emerged in the past two weeks. A rapid ceasefire collapse, large-scale Hezbollah rocket or drone barrages, or direct Iranian-linked threats could still prompt reassessment before the deadline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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