**UAE leads at 35% as the leading candidate for the next round of trilateral Russia-Ukraine-US talks, following explicit US proposals to host technical-level meetings there in October 2026.** Zelenskyy confirmed the suggestion after recent envoy visits to Kyiv and Moscow, building on prior Abu Dhabi sessions in January-February 2026 that addressed limited ceasefires and energy infrastructure. Turkey sits at 19.5% due to its established mediation record, including 2022 Istanbul talks and ongoing Black Sea grain corridor diplomacy, with recent offers to host and Ukrainian outreach for potential leader-level meetings. Other venues like Slovakia or Switzerland trail amid less current diplomatic momentum, while the low probability assigned to no talks by late 2027 reflects ongoing US-led efforts and signals from both sides that negotiations remain active.