Diplomatic frictions with Israel persist amid the Gaza conflict and related regional tensions, yet governments have continued to favor lower-level measures such as ambassador summons, chargé-level expulsions, or mutual personnel reductions rather than full ambassador removals. Ireland's parliament rejected a September 21 motion to expel Israel's ambassador, consistent with patterns in Australia and elsewhere where protests have not translated into government action. Recent upgrades in ties, including Israel's agreement with Morocco to exchange ambassadors and open full embassies, further signal contained bilateral strains. Traders price the "No" outcome at 71.5% implied probability, reflecting historical reluctance to sever ambassadorial relations entirely before year-end despite ongoing disputes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
29% โอกาส
$54,718 ปริมาณ
$54,718 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
29% โอกาส
$54,718 ปริมาณ
$54,718 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic frictions with Israel persist amid the Gaza conflict and related regional tensions, yet governments have continued to favor lower-level measures such as ambassador summons, chargé-level expulsions, or mutual personnel reductions rather than full ambassador removals. Ireland's parliament rejected a September 21 motion to expel Israel's ambassador, consistent with patterns in Australia and elsewhere where protests have not translated into government action. Recent upgrades in ties, including Israel's agreement with Morocco to exchange ambassadors and open full embassies, further signal contained bilateral strains. Traders price the "No" outcome at 71.5% implied probability, reflecting historical reluctance to sever ambassadorial relations entirely before year-end despite ongoing disputes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$54,718วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic frictions with Israel persist amid the Gaza conflict and related regional tensions, yet governments have continued to favor lower-level measures such as ambassador summons, chargé-level expulsions, or mutual personnel reductions rather than full ambassador removals. Ireland's parliament rejected a September 21 motion to expel Israel's ambassador, consistent with patterns in Australia and elsewhere where protests have not translated into government action. Recent upgrades in ties, including Israel's agreement with Morocco to exchange ambassadors and open full embassies, further signal contained bilateral strains. Traders price the "No" outcome at 71.5% implied probability, reflecting historical reluctance to sever ambassadorial relations entirely before year-end despite ongoing disputes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$54,718วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic frictions with Israel persist amid the Gaza conflict and related regional tensions, yet governments have continued to favor lower-level measures such as ambassador summons, chargé-level expulsions, or mutual personnel reductions rather than full ambassador removals. Ireland's parliament rejected a September 21 motion to expel Israel's ambassador, consistent with patterns in Australia and elsewhere where protests have not translated into government action. Recent upgrades in ties, including Israel's agreement with Morocco to exchange ambassadors and open full embassies, further signal contained bilateral strains. Traders price the "No" outcome at 71.5% implied probability, reflecting historical reluctance to sever ambassadorial relations entirely before year-end despite ongoing disputes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย