Recent developments in US-Iran diplomacy and sanctions enforcement have produced closely matched market-implied odds across USD/IRR buckets clustered around 1.4M–1.9M for end-July 2026, reflecting trader uncertainty over the pace of any thaw following the spring conflict and naval blockade. Persistent high inflation near 50 percent, constrained oil export revenues under maximum-pressure measures, and limited access to foreign reserves continue to exert downward pressure on the rial, while recent reports of a temporary sanctions reprieve and stock-market rebound signal potential stabilization. Key swing factors include upcoming bilateral talks, oil-price movements amid regional supply risks, and central-bank interventions, all of which could shift the free-market rate materially within the narrow resolution window. Market participants appear to price in balanced probabilities of modest appreciation versus renewed depreciation, consistent with the volatile post-conflict environment and absence of durable policy clarity.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUSD x Iranian rials End of July?
USD x Iranian rials End of July?
<1.4M 99%
1.4-1.5M 99%
1.5-1.6M 99%
1.6-1.7M 99%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 31, 2026
<1.4M
99%
1.4-1.5M
99%
1.5-1.6M
99%
1.6-1.7M
99%
1.7-1.8M
99%
1.8-1.9M
99%
1.9M+
99%
<1.4M 99%
1.4-1.5M 99%
1.5-1.6M 99%
1.6-1.7M 99%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 31, 2026
<1.4M
$0 ปริมาณ
99%
1.4-1.5M
$0 ปริมาณ
99%
1.5-1.6M
$0 ปริมาณ
99%
1.6-1.7M
$0 ปริมาณ
99%
1.7-1.8M
$0 ปริมาณ
99%
1.8-1.9M
$0 ปริมาณ
99%
1.9M+
$0 ปริมาณ
99%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Recent developments in US-Iran diplomacy and sanctions enforcement have produced closely matched market-implied odds across USD/IRR buckets clustered around 1.4M–1.9M for end-July 2026, reflecting trader uncertainty over the pace of any thaw following the spring conflict and naval blockade. Persistent high inflation near 50 percent, constrained oil export revenues under maximum-pressure measures, and limited access to foreign reserves continue to exert downward pressure on the rial, while recent reports of a temporary sanctions reprieve and stock-market rebound signal potential stabilization. Key swing factors include upcoming bilateral talks, oil-price movements amid regional supply risks, and central-bank interventions, all of which could shift the free-market rate materially within the narrow resolution window. Market participants appear to price in balanced probabilities of modest appreciation versus renewed depreciation, consistent with the volatile post-conflict environment and absence of durable policy clarity.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Recent developments in US-Iran diplomacy and sanctions enforcement have produced closely matched market-implied odds across USD/IRR buckets clustered around 1.4M–1.9M for end-July 2026, reflecting trader uncertainty over the pace of any thaw following the spring conflict and naval blockade. Persistent high inflation near 50 percent, constrained oil export revenues under maximum-pressure measures, and limited access to foreign reserves continue to exert downward pressure on the rial, while recent reports of a temporary sanctions reprieve and stock-market rebound signal potential stabilization. Key swing factors include upcoming bilateral talks, oil-price movements amid regional supply risks, and central-bank interventions, all of which could shift the free-market rate materially within the narrow resolution window. Market participants appear to price in balanced probabilities of modest appreciation versus renewed depreciation, consistent with the volatile post-conflict environment and absence of durable policy clarity.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent developments in US-Iran diplomacy and sanctions enforcement have produced closely matched market-implied odds across USD/IRR buckets clustered around 1.4M–1.9M for end-July 2026, reflecting trader uncertainty over the pace of any thaw following the spring conflict and naval blockade. Persistent high inflation near 50 percent, constrained oil export revenues under maximum-pressure measures, and limited access to foreign reserves continue to exert downward pressure on the rial, while recent reports of a temporary sanctions reprieve and stock-market rebound signal potential stabilization. Key swing factors include upcoming bilateral talks, oil-price movements amid regional supply risks, and central-bank interventions, all of which could shift the free-market rate materially within the narrow resolution window. Market participants appear to price in balanced probabilities of modest appreciation versus renewed depreciation, consistent with the volatile post-conflict environment and absence of durable policy clarity.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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