U.S.-brokered direct negotiations between Israel and Lebanon, launched in April 2026 after a decade-long absence of formal talks, center on establishing a permanent security arrangement that includes Hezbollah disarmament, full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, and mutually recognized borders. A 10-day cessation of hostilities that began April 16 has been extended multiple times, most recently for 45 days following productive May 14–15 Washington sessions that also launched a parallel military track at the Pentagon on May 29. Lebanese officials seek to consolidate state authority over all armed groups while Israel emphasizes verifiable steps against non-state militants and buffer-zone security guarantees. Next political talks are scheduled for June, with both sides affirming commitment to good-faith diplomacy yet noting persistent risks of renewed clashes that could derail progress toward any binding agreement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?
$173,382 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
May 31
2%
$173,382 ปริมาณ
May 31
$96,300 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Hezbollah agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.U.S.-brokered direct negotiations between Israel and Lebanon, launched in April 2026 after a decade-long absence of formal talks, center on establishing a permanent security arrangement that includes Hezbollah disarmament, full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, and mutually recognized borders. A 10-day cessation of hostilities that began April 16 has been extended multiple times, most recently for 45 days following productive May 14–15 Washington sessions that also launched a parallel military track at the Pentagon on May 29. Lebanese officials seek to consolidate state authority over all armed groups while Israel emphasizes verifiable steps against non-state militants and buffer-zone security guarantees. Next political talks are scheduled for June, with both sides affirming commitment to good-faith diplomacy yet noting persistent risks of renewed clashes that could derail progress toward any binding agreement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Hezbollah agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$173,382วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 7:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Hezbollah agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.U.S.-brokered direct negotiations between Israel and Lebanon, launched in April 2026 after a decade-long absence of formal talks, center on establishing a permanent security arrangement that includes Hezbollah disarmament, full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, and mutually recognized borders. A 10-day cessation of hostilities that began April 16 has been extended multiple times, most recently for 45 days following productive May 14–15 Washington sessions that also launched a parallel military track at the Pentagon on May 29. Lebanese officials seek to consolidate state authority over all armed groups while Israel emphasizes verifiable steps against non-state militants and buffer-zone security guarantees. Next political talks are scheduled for June, with both sides affirming commitment to good-faith diplomacy yet noting persistent risks of renewed clashes that could derail progress toward any binding agreement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Hezbollah agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$173,382วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 7:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S.-brokered direct negotiations between Israel and Lebanon, launched in April 2026 after a decade-long absence of formal talks, center on establishing a permanent security arrangement that includes Hezbollah disarmament, full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, and mutually recognized borders. A 10-day cessation of hostilities that began April 16 has been extended multiple times, most recently for 45 days following productive May 14–15 Washington sessions that also launched a parallel military track at the Pentagon on May 29. Lebanese officials seek to consolidate state authority over all armed groups while Israel emphasizes verifiable steps against non-state militants and buffer-zone security guarantees. Next political talks are scheduled for June, with both sides affirming commitment to good-faith diplomacy yet noting persistent risks of renewed clashes that could derail progress toward any binding agreement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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