**Traders assign a 65.5% probability to “No” on a UNSC resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran deal by December 31, 2026, reflecting the slow pace of negotiations and persistent obstacles.** The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding established a 60-day (extendable) window for technical talks on sanctions relief, Iran’s nuclear program, and related issues, with the explicit goal of a final accord that would then require binding UN Security Council endorsement. As of early August, talks have produced only interim progress toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz, while core disputes over enrichment limits, sanctions termination schedules, and regional security commitments remain unresolved. Multiple rounds of high-level and technical meetings since June have yielded roadmaps but no comprehensive text, and recent statements from mediators emphasize continued gaps rather than imminent closure. These delays, combined with the need for UNSC consensus among permanent members and the short remaining window before year-end, underpin the current market pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
35% โอกาส
$124,993 ปริมาณ
$124,993 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
35% โอกาส
$124,993 ปริมาณ
$124,993 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
**Traders assign a 65.5% probability to “No” on a UNSC resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran deal by December 31, 2026, reflecting the slow pace of negotiations and persistent obstacles.** The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding established a 60-day (extendable) window for technical talks on sanctions relief, Iran’s nuclear program, and related issues, with the explicit goal of a final accord that would then require binding UN Security Council endorsement. As of early August, talks have produced only interim progress toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz, while core disputes over enrichment limits, sanctions termination schedules, and regional security commitments remain unresolved. Multiple rounds of high-level and technical meetings since June have yielded roadmaps but no comprehensive text, and recent statements from mediators emphasize continued gaps rather than imminent closure. These delays, combined with the need for UNSC consensus among permanent members and the short remaining window before year-end, underpin the current market pricing.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$124,993วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
**Traders assign a 65.5% probability to “No” on a UNSC resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran deal by December 31, 2026, reflecting the slow pace of negotiations and persistent obstacles.** The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding established a 60-day (extendable) window for technical talks on sanctions relief, Iran’s nuclear program, and related issues, with the explicit goal of a final accord that would then require binding UN Security Council endorsement. As of early August, talks have produced only interim progress toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz, while core disputes over enrichment limits, sanctions termination schedules, and regional security commitments remain unresolved. Multiple rounds of high-level and technical meetings since June have yielded roadmaps but no comprehensive text, and recent statements from mediators emphasize continued gaps rather than imminent closure. These delays, combined with the need for UNSC consensus among permanent members and the short remaining window before year-end, underpin the current market pricing.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$124,993วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Traders assign a 65.5% probability to “No” on a UNSC resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran deal by December 31, 2026, reflecting the slow pace of negotiations and persistent obstacles.** The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding established a 60-day (extendable) window for technical talks on sanctions relief, Iran’s nuclear program, and related issues, with the explicit goal of a final accord that would then require binding UN Security Council endorsement. As of early August, talks have produced only interim progress toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz, while core disputes over enrichment limits, sanctions termination schedules, and regional security commitments remain unresolved. Multiple rounds of high-level and technical meetings since June have yielded roadmaps but no comprehensive text, and recent statements from mediators emphasize continued gaps rather than imminent closure. These delays, combined with the need for UNSC consensus among permanent members and the short remaining window before year-end, underpin the current market pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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