Israeli forces maintain a presence in southern Lebanon following the October 2024 ground invasion amid the war with Hezbollah, with ceasefire violations persisting since the November 2024 US-brokered truce that mandated phased withdrawal and Hezbollah relocation north of the Litani River under UNSCR 1701. Late April 2026 saw Israel announce pullback of combat brigades due to Hezbollah's effective FPV drone strikes, prompting tactical retreats from some towns, yet troops hold key border positions. Recent escalations include May 9 evacuation orders ahead of Israeli strikes and ongoing clashes, as Lebanon's PM Nawaf Salam demands full withdrawal ahead of potential Washington talks. Diplomatic stalemate over disarmament keeps complete exit uncertain.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by...?
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
$1,249,789 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
May 31
1%
June 30
10%
$1,249,789 ปริมาณ
May 31
$988,509 ปริมาณ
1%
June 30
$186,273 ปริมาณ
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces maintain a presence in southern Lebanon following the October 2024 ground invasion amid the war with Hezbollah, with ceasefire violations persisting since the November 2024 US-brokered truce that mandated phased withdrawal and Hezbollah relocation north of the Litani River under UNSCR 1701. Late April 2026 saw Israel announce pullback of combat brigades due to Hezbollah's effective FPV drone strikes, prompting tactical retreats from some towns, yet troops hold key border positions. Recent escalations include May 9 evacuation orders ahead of Israeli strikes and ongoing clashes, as Lebanon's PM Nawaf Salam demands full withdrawal ahead of potential Washington talks. Diplomatic stalemate over disarmament keeps complete exit uncertain.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,249,789วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces maintain a presence in southern Lebanon following the October 2024 ground invasion amid the war with Hezbollah, with ceasefire violations persisting since the November 2024 US-brokered truce that mandated phased withdrawal and Hezbollah relocation north of the Litani River under UNSCR 1701. Late April 2026 saw Israel announce pullback of combat brigades due to Hezbollah's effective FPV drone strikes, prompting tactical retreats from some towns, yet troops hold key border positions. Recent escalations include May 9 evacuation orders ahead of Israeli strikes and ongoing clashes, as Lebanon's PM Nawaf Salam demands full withdrawal ahead of potential Washington talks. Diplomatic stalemate over disarmament keeps complete exit uncertain.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,249,789วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli forces maintain a presence in southern Lebanon following the October 2024 ground invasion amid the war with Hezbollah, with ceasefire violations persisting since the November 2024 US-brokered truce that mandated phased withdrawal and Hezbollah relocation north of the Litani River under UNSCR 1701. Late April 2026 saw Israel announce pullback of combat brigades due to Hezbollah's effective FPV drone strikes, prompting tactical retreats from some towns, yet troops hold key border positions. Recent escalations include May 9 evacuation orders ahead of Israeli strikes and ongoing clashes, as Lebanon's PM Nawaf Salam demands full withdrawal ahead of potential Washington talks. Diplomatic stalemate over disarmament keeps complete exit uncertain.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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