IAEA inspectors have had no physical access to the enrichment facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz since the June 2025 U.S. and Israeli strikes damaged those sites and Iran suspended cooperation. An interim U.S.-Iran understanding reached in June 2026 that referenced IAEA oversight of nuclear material quickly collapsed, with Tehran conditioning any visits on conclusion of a final agreement and sanctions relief. The latest IAEA safeguards report from September 2026 confirms ongoing restrictions, noting verification only at unaffected sites such as Bushehr while highlighting unresolved concerns over highly enriched uranium stockpiles at the three targeted locations. Ongoing diplomatic negotiations and IAEA calls for urgent access continue to shape trader assessments of near-term inspection likelihood.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$376,623 ปริมาณ
Oct 31, 2026
October 31
4%
December 31
14%
$376,623 ปริมาณ
October 31
$84,571 ปริมาณ
4%
December 31
$38,654 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA inspectors have had no physical access to the enrichment facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz since the June 2025 U.S. and Israeli strikes damaged those sites and Iran suspended cooperation. An interim U.S.-Iran understanding reached in June 2026 that referenced IAEA oversight of nuclear material quickly collapsed, with Tehran conditioning any visits on conclusion of a final agreement and sanctions relief. The latest IAEA safeguards report from September 2026 confirms ongoing restrictions, noting verification only at unaffected sites such as Bushehr while highlighting unresolved concerns over highly enriched uranium stockpiles at the three targeted locations. Ongoing diplomatic negotiations and IAEA calls for urgent access continue to shape trader assessments of near-term inspection likelihood.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$376,623วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA inspectors have had no physical access to the enrichment facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz since the June 2025 U.S. and Israeli strikes damaged those sites and Iran suspended cooperation. An interim U.S.-Iran understanding reached in June 2026 that referenced IAEA oversight of nuclear material quickly collapsed, with Tehran conditioning any visits on conclusion of a final agreement and sanctions relief. The latest IAEA safeguards report from September 2026 confirms ongoing restrictions, noting verification only at unaffected sites such as Bushehr while highlighting unresolved concerns over highly enriched uranium stockpiles at the three targeted locations. Ongoing diplomatic negotiations and IAEA calls for urgent access continue to shape trader assessments of near-term inspection likelihood.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$376,623วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...IAEA inspectors have had no physical access to the enrichment facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz since the June 2025 U.S. and Israeli strikes damaged those sites and Iran suspended cooperation. An interim U.S.-Iran understanding reached in June 2026 that referenced IAEA oversight of nuclear material quickly collapsed, with Tehran conditioning any visits on conclusion of a final agreement and sanctions relief. The latest IAEA safeguards report from September 2026 confirms ongoing restrictions, noting verification only at unaffected sites such as Bushehr while highlighting unresolved concerns over highly enriched uranium stockpiles at the three targeted locations. Ongoing diplomatic negotiations and IAEA calls for urgent access continue to shape trader assessments of near-term inspection likelihood.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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