**As South Korea’s sitting president since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional immunity that suspends most criminal proceedings except in cases of insurrection or treason.** Courts have indefinitely postponed all five pre-existing trials—including election-law violations and corruption allegations tied to his earlier roles as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor—following his election victory. No new indictments or legislative efforts to lift these safeguards have advanced as of mid-2026. An opposition-backed impeachment petition collected over 100,000 signatures in June 2026, yet the ruling party’s 161-seat majority in the 300-seat National Assembly makes passage improbable without broader defections. This institutional framework, combined with the absence of recent prosecutorial or political moves targeting his arrest, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 92.6% “No” probability. Resolution to “Yes” would require either impeachment, a successful constitutional challenge, or extraordinary circumstances before December 31, 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว7% โอกาส
$529,276 ปริมาณ
$529,276 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
7% โอกาส
$529,276 ปริมาณ
$529,276 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**As South Korea’s sitting president since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional immunity that suspends most criminal proceedings except in cases of insurrection or treason.** Courts have indefinitely postponed all five pre-existing trials—including election-law violations and corruption allegations tied to his earlier roles as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor—following his election victory. No new indictments or legislative efforts to lift these safeguards have advanced as of mid-2026. An opposition-backed impeachment petition collected over 100,000 signatures in June 2026, yet the ruling party’s 161-seat majority in the 300-seat National Assembly makes passage improbable without broader defections. This institutional framework, combined with the absence of recent prosecutorial or political moves targeting his arrest, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 92.6% “No” probability. Resolution to “Yes” would require either impeachment, a successful constitutional challenge, or extraordinary circumstances before December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$529,276วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**As South Korea’s sitting president since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional immunity that suspends most criminal proceedings except in cases of insurrection or treason.** Courts have indefinitely postponed all five pre-existing trials—including election-law violations and corruption allegations tied to his earlier roles as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor—following his election victory. No new indictments or legislative efforts to lift these safeguards have advanced as of mid-2026. An opposition-backed impeachment petition collected over 100,000 signatures in June 2026, yet the ruling party’s 161-seat majority in the 300-seat National Assembly makes passage improbable without broader defections. This institutional framework, combined with the absence of recent prosecutorial or political moves targeting his arrest, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 92.6% “No” probability. Resolution to “Yes” would require either impeachment, a successful constitutional challenge, or extraordinary circumstances before December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$529,276วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**As South Korea’s sitting president since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional immunity that suspends most criminal proceedings except in cases of insurrection or treason.** Courts have indefinitely postponed all five pre-existing trials—including election-law violations and corruption allegations tied to his earlier roles as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor—following his election victory. No new indictments or legislative efforts to lift these safeguards have advanced as of mid-2026. An opposition-backed impeachment petition collected over 100,000 signatures in June 2026, yet the ruling party’s 161-seat majority in the 300-seat National Assembly makes passage improbable without broader defections. This institutional framework, combined with the absence of recent prosecutorial or political moves targeting his arrest, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 92.6% “No” probability. Resolution to “Yes” would require either impeachment, a successful constitutional challenge, or extraordinary circumstances before December 31, 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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