Trader consensus heavily favors former U.S. Rep. David Jolly at 78% implied probability to win Florida's Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 18, reflecting his polling edge over Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings (22%) amid high undecideds. Jolly's lead stems from an Emerson College poll showing him at 21% to Demings' 10%, bolstered by dominant fundraising—five-to-one advantage, including $900,000 raised post-Democratic special election upsets in early April that energized the base. Recent general election surveys depict Jolly competitive against GOP frontrunner Byron Donalds in battlegrounds, enhancing his viability. With three months until the primary, shifts could arise from endorsements or voter turnout in key regions like Central Florida.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วDavid Jolly 78%
Jerry Demings 18.2%
Shevrin Jones <1%
Jason Pizzo <1%
$20,569 ปริมาณ
$20,569 ปริมาณ
David Jolly
78%
Jerry Demings
22%
Shevrin Jones
<1%
Jason Pizzo
<1%
Daniella Levine Cava
<1%
Angie Nixon
<1%
Fentrice Driskell
<1%
Gwen Graham
<1%
David Jolly 78%
Jerry Demings 18.2%
Shevrin Jones <1%
Jason Pizzo <1%
$20,569 ปริมาณ
$20,569 ปริมาณ
David Jolly
78%
Jerry Demings
22%
Shevrin Jones
<1%
Jason Pizzo
<1%
Daniella Levine Cava
<1%
Angie Nixon
<1%
Fentrice Driskell
<1%
Gwen Graham
<1%
If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 25, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors former U.S. Rep. David Jolly at 78% implied probability to win Florida's Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 18, reflecting his polling edge over Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings (22%) amid high undecideds. Jolly's lead stems from an Emerson College poll showing him at 21% to Demings' 10%, bolstered by dominant fundraising—five-to-one advantage, including $900,000 raised post-Democratic special election upsets in early April that energized the base. Recent general election surveys depict Jolly competitive against GOP frontrunner Byron Donalds in battlegrounds, enhancing his viability. With three months until the primary, shifts could arise from endorsements or voter turnout in key regions like Central Florida.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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