James Fishback holds a commanding 98.4% implied probability of finishing third in the August 18, 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary because unofficial results with 98% of votes counted placed him behind frontrunner Byron Donalds and Lt. Gov. Jay Collins in a crowded field of more than a dozen candidates. Donalds secured roughly 48% as the Trump-endorsed nominee while Collins took second at 25%, leaving Fishback at about 10.5% ahead of Paul Renner and the remaining entrants. Trader consensus reflects the completed vote tabulation and the low likelihood of any reversal through outstanding ballots or certification challenges. Only late procedural disputes or official recounts altering the final ordering could shift the outcome before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJames Fishback 98.4%
James Walker Shaw 3.2%
Jay Collins 2.9%
Byron Donalds 2.9%
$1,741 ปริมาณ
$1,741 ปริมาณ
James Fishback
98%
James Walker Shaw
3%
Jay Collins
3%
Byron Donalds
3%
Daniel Nokovich
3%
Jim Holcomb
1%
Arthur Joseph McCaffrey
1%
Rachel Rodriguez
1%
Caneste Succe
1%
Bobby Williams
1%
Paul Renner
-
James Fishback 98.4%
James Walker Shaw 3.2%
Jay Collins 2.9%
Byron Donalds 2.9%
$1,741 ปริมาณ
$1,741 ปริมาณ
James Fishback
98%
James Walker Shaw
3%
Jay Collins
3%
Byron Donalds
3%
Daniel Nokovich
3%
Jim Holcomb
1%
Arthur Joseph McCaffrey
1%
Rachel Rodriguez
1%
Caneste Succe
1%
Bobby Williams
1%
Paul Renner
-
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 3:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...James Fishback holds a commanding 98.4% implied probability of finishing third in the August 18, 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary because unofficial results with 98% of votes counted placed him behind frontrunner Byron Donalds and Lt. Gov. Jay Collins in a crowded field of more than a dozen candidates. Donalds secured roughly 48% as the Trump-endorsed nominee while Collins took second at 25%, leaving Fishback at about 10.5% ahead of Paul Renner and the remaining entrants. Trader consensus reflects the completed vote tabulation and the low likelihood of any reversal through outstanding ballots or certification challenges. Only late procedural disputes or official recounts altering the final ordering could shift the outcome before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย