Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+11 partisan voting index, majority-Black electorate, and history of delivering 60%+ support for Democratic nominees in recent cycles. Incumbent Bennie Thompson secured renomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Ron Eller and independent Bennie Foster, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in the 92% Democratic probability aligns with this structural edge and the absence of major developments or polling shifts since the primaries concluded. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited and would require events such as a late scandal, sharply depressed Democratic turnout, or an unforeseen national wave capable of overcoming the district’s established partisan baseline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMS-02 House Election Winner
MS-02 House Election Winner
$36,491 ปริมาณ
$36,491 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
$36,491 ปริมาณ
$36,491 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$21,474 ปริมาณ
92%
Republican Party
$15,017 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+11 partisan voting index, majority-Black electorate, and history of delivering 60%+ support for Democratic nominees in recent cycles. Incumbent Bennie Thompson secured renomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Ron Eller and independent Bennie Foster, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in the 92% Democratic probability aligns with this structural edge and the absence of major developments or polling shifts since the primaries concluded. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited and would require events such as a late scandal, sharply depressed Democratic turnout, or an unforeseen national wave capable of overcoming the district’s established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,491วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+11 partisan voting index, majority-Black electorate, and history of delivering 60%+ support for Democratic nominees in recent cycles. Incumbent Bennie Thompson secured renomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Ron Eller and independent Bennie Foster, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in the 92% Democratic probability aligns with this structural edge and the absence of major developments or polling shifts since the primaries concluded. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited and would require events such as a late scandal, sharply depressed Democratic turnout, or an unforeseen national wave capable of overcoming the district’s established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,491วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+11 partisan voting index, majority-Black electorate, and history of delivering 60%+ support for Democratic nominees in recent cycles. Incumbent Bennie Thompson secured renomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Ron Eller and independent Bennie Foster, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in the 92% Democratic probability aligns with this structural edge and the absence of major developments or polling shifts since the primaries concluded. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited and would require events such as a late scandal, sharply depressed Democratic turnout, or an unforeseen national wave capable of overcoming the district’s established partisan baseline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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