Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott's commanding position as Texas governor, bolstered by his dominant March 2026 Republican primary win at 82% and consistent polling leads of 7–10 points over Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa, drives trader consensus toward an 82.5% implied probability of a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. Recent polls, including a Texas Public Opinion Research survey from late April showing Abbott at 48% to Hinojosa's 43%, and a RealClearPolitics average of 47.7%–40.7%, reflect his strong incumbency advantage in the GOP-leaning state amid steady approval ratings. Former President Obama's May 13 campaign visit aims to narrow the gap for Hinojosa, but historical low Democratic turnout in Texas and Abbott's fundraising edge sustain the lopsided market pricing, with early voting and swing voter mobilization as key upcoming factors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTexas Governor Election Winner
Texas Governor Election Winner
$12,011 ปริมาณ
$12,011 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
83%
Democrat
15%
$12,011 ปริมาณ
$12,011 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$5,869 ปริมาณ
83%
Democrat
$6,142 ปริมาณ
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott's commanding position as Texas governor, bolstered by his dominant March 2026 Republican primary win at 82% and consistent polling leads of 7–10 points over Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa, drives trader consensus toward an 82.5% implied probability of a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. Recent polls, including a Texas Public Opinion Research survey from late April showing Abbott at 48% to Hinojosa's 43%, and a RealClearPolitics average of 47.7%–40.7%, reflect his strong incumbency advantage in the GOP-leaning state amid steady approval ratings. Former President Obama's May 13 campaign visit aims to narrow the gap for Hinojosa, but historical low Democratic turnout in Texas and Abbott's fundraising edge sustain the lopsided market pricing, with early voting and swing voter mobilization as key upcoming factors.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,011วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott's commanding position as Texas governor, bolstered by his dominant March 2026 Republican primary win at 82% and consistent polling leads of 7–10 points over Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa, drives trader consensus toward an 82.5% implied probability of a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. Recent polls, including a Texas Public Opinion Research survey from late April showing Abbott at 48% to Hinojosa's 43%, and a RealClearPolitics average of 47.7%–40.7%, reflect his strong incumbency advantage in the GOP-leaning state amid steady approval ratings. Former President Obama's May 13 campaign visit aims to narrow the gap for Hinojosa, but historical low Democratic turnout in Texas and Abbott's fundraising edge sustain the lopsided market pricing, with early voting and swing voter mobilization as key upcoming factors.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,011วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott's commanding position as Texas governor, bolstered by his dominant March 2026 Republican primary win at 82% and consistent polling leads of 7–10 points over Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa, drives trader consensus toward an 82.5% implied probability of a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. Recent polls, including a Texas Public Opinion Research survey from late April showing Abbott at 48% to Hinojosa's 43%, and a RealClearPolitics average of 47.7%–40.7%, reflect his strong incumbency advantage in the GOP-leaning state amid steady approval ratings. Former President Obama's May 13 campaign visit aims to narrow the gap for Hinojosa, but historical low Democratic turnout in Texas and Abbott's fundraising edge sustain the lopsided market pricing, with early voting and swing voter mobilization as key upcoming factors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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