Incumbent Democratic Governor Tina Kotek secured her party's nomination with roughly 85% of the primary vote in May 2026, setting up a rematch against Republican Christine Drazan, who prevailed in a competitive GOP primary. Oregon's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, combined with Kotek's incumbency advantages and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus around an 86% probability for the Democratic nominee. Early 2026 polling showed Kotek ahead but within single digits, while nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or likely Democratic. Drazan's path remains constrained by the state's voter registration and turnout patterns favoring Democrats, though national political dynamics and voter sentiment on affordability could influence margins before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$19,063 ปริมาณ
$19,063 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
88%
Republican
11%
$19,063 ปริมาณ
$19,063 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$11,044 ปริมาณ
88%
Republican
$8,019 ปริมาณ
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Tina Kotek secured her party's nomination with roughly 85% of the primary vote in May 2026, setting up a rematch against Republican Christine Drazan, who prevailed in a competitive GOP primary. Oregon's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, combined with Kotek's incumbency advantages and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus around an 86% probability for the Democratic nominee. Early 2026 polling showed Kotek ahead but within single digits, while nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or likely Democratic. Drazan's path remains constrained by the state's voter registration and turnout patterns favoring Democrats, though national political dynamics and voter sentiment on affordability could influence margins before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,063วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Tina Kotek secured her party's nomination with roughly 85% of the primary vote in May 2026, setting up a rematch against Republican Christine Drazan, who prevailed in a competitive GOP primary. Oregon's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, combined with Kotek's incumbency advantages and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus around an 86% probability for the Democratic nominee. Early 2026 polling showed Kotek ahead but within single digits, while nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or likely Democratic. Drazan's path remains constrained by the state's voter registration and turnout patterns favoring Democrats, though national political dynamics and voter sentiment on affordability could influence margins before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,063วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Tina Kotek secured her party's nomination with roughly 85% of the primary vote in May 2026, setting up a rematch against Republican Christine Drazan, who prevailed in a competitive GOP primary. Oregon's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, combined with Kotek's incumbency advantages and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus around an 86% probability for the Democratic nominee. Early 2026 polling showed Kotek ahead but within single digits, while nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or likely Democratic. Drazan's path remains constrained by the state's voter registration and turnout patterns favoring Democrats, though national political dynamics and voter sentiment on affordability could influence margins before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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