Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle's renomination bid in solidly Democratic OR-04 underpins trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 90.5% to retain the seat in the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district's partisan lean encompassing liberal strongholds Eugene and Corvallis. Recent primary developments, including early May critiques of Hoyle's economic record by challengers Melissa Bird and Daniel Bahlen ahead of the May 19 vote, have not eroded her frontrunner status, while Republicans face a contest between 2024 nominee Monique DeSpain and Stefan Strek in a race Cook Political Report rates Solid Democratic with minimal national GOP investment. Scenarios challenging this include a weakened Democratic nominee post-primary, strong Republican midterm tailwinds, or unforeseen scandals, legal issues, or health events.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOR-04 House Election Winner
OR-04 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,146 ปริมาณ
91%
Republican Party
$92 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle's renomination bid in solidly Democratic OR-04 underpins trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 90.5% to retain the seat in the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district's partisan lean encompassing liberal strongholds Eugene and Corvallis. Recent primary developments, including early May critiques of Hoyle's economic record by challengers Melissa Bird and Daniel Bahlen ahead of the May 19 vote, have not eroded her frontrunner status, while Republicans face a contest between 2024 nominee Monique DeSpain and Stefan Strek in a race Cook Political Report rates Solid Democratic with minimal national GOP investment. Scenarios challenging this include a weakened Democratic nominee post-primary, strong Republican midterm tailwinds, or unforeseen scandals, legal issues, or health events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,239วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle's renomination bid in solidly Democratic OR-04 underpins trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 90.5% to retain the seat in the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district's partisan lean encompassing liberal strongholds Eugene and Corvallis. Recent primary developments, including early May critiques of Hoyle's economic record by challengers Melissa Bird and Daniel Bahlen ahead of the May 19 vote, have not eroded her frontrunner status, while Republicans face a contest between 2024 nominee Monique DeSpain and Stefan Strek in a race Cook Political Report rates Solid Democratic with minimal national GOP investment. Scenarios challenging this include a weakened Democratic nominee post-primary, strong Republican midterm tailwinds, or unforeseen scandals, legal issues, or health events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,239วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle's renomination bid in solidly Democratic OR-04 underpins trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 90.5% to retain the seat in the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district's partisan lean encompassing liberal strongholds Eugene and Corvallis. Recent primary developments, including early May critiques of Hoyle's economic record by challengers Melissa Bird and Daniel Bahlen ahead of the May 19 vote, have not eroded her frontrunner status, while Republicans face a contest between 2024 nominee Monique DeSpain and Stefan Strek in a race Cook Political Report rates Solid Democratic with minimal national GOP investment. Scenarios challenging this include a weakened Democratic nominee post-primary, strong Republican midterm tailwinds, or unforeseen scandals, legal issues, or health events.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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