Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district maintains a durable Democratic advantage rooted in its D+12 partisan voting index and unbroken Democratic control since 1994. Incumbent Gabe Amo, first elected in 2023, secured 63 percent of the vote in 2024 and faces no primary threat ahead of the September 2026 contest, while Republican nominee Kellie Keenan enters a race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other nonpartisan analysts. Fundraising and candidate recruitment data further underscore limited Republican competitiveness in this Providence-centered district. Trader consensus reflected in the 95 percent Democratic probability therefore tracks the structural and historical baseline. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican tailwind remain the principal variables that could narrow the margin before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRI-01 House Election Winner
RI-01 House Election Winner
$13,011 ปริมาณ
$13,011 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$13,011 ปริมาณ
$13,011 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,040 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$6,971 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district maintains a durable Democratic advantage rooted in its D+12 partisan voting index and unbroken Democratic control since 1994. Incumbent Gabe Amo, first elected in 2023, secured 63 percent of the vote in 2024 and faces no primary threat ahead of the September 2026 contest, while Republican nominee Kellie Keenan enters a race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other nonpartisan analysts. Fundraising and candidate recruitment data further underscore limited Republican competitiveness in this Providence-centered district. Trader consensus reflected in the 95 percent Democratic probability therefore tracks the structural and historical baseline. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican tailwind remain the principal variables that could narrow the margin before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,011วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district maintains a durable Democratic advantage rooted in its D+12 partisan voting index and unbroken Democratic control since 1994. Incumbent Gabe Amo, first elected in 2023, secured 63 percent of the vote in 2024 and faces no primary threat ahead of the September 2026 contest, while Republican nominee Kellie Keenan enters a race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other nonpartisan analysts. Fundraising and candidate recruitment data further underscore limited Republican competitiveness in this Providence-centered district. Trader consensus reflected in the 95 percent Democratic probability therefore tracks the structural and historical baseline. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican tailwind remain the principal variables that could narrow the margin before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,011วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district maintains a durable Democratic advantage rooted in its D+12 partisan voting index and unbroken Democratic control since 1994. Incumbent Gabe Amo, first elected in 2023, secured 63 percent of the vote in 2024 and faces no primary threat ahead of the September 2026 contest, while Republican nominee Kellie Keenan enters a race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other nonpartisan analysts. Fundraising and candidate recruitment data further underscore limited Republican competitiveness in this Providence-centered district. Trader consensus reflected in the 95 percent Democratic probability therefore tracks the structural and historical baseline. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican tailwind remain the principal variables that could narrow the margin before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย