The strong Republican lean of Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District, with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Trump winning 61% in 2024, anchors trader consensus at 82% odds for a GOP victory in this open seat race following incumbent Tom Tiffany's January gubernatorial bid. Recent early May polls of the Republican primary show Trump-endorsed Michael Alfonso leading at 35% over Kevin Hermening (21%) in a fragmented but well-funded field, with top candidates holding over $700,000 cash on hand as of late March. Democrats' primary remains contested among lower-funded contenders like Fred Clark ($157,000 cash), lacking a clear frontrunner. Absent general election polling, the district's conservative rural base sustains high Republican probabilities ahead of August 11 primaries and the November 3 general.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWI-07 House Election Winner
WI-07 House Election Winner
$17,886 ปริมาณ
$17,886 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
16%
$17,886 ปริมาณ
$17,886 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,874 ปริมาณ
83%
Democratic Party
$9,011 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District, with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Trump winning 61% in 2024, anchors trader consensus at 82% odds for a GOP victory in this open seat race following incumbent Tom Tiffany's January gubernatorial bid. Recent early May polls of the Republican primary show Trump-endorsed Michael Alfonso leading at 35% over Kevin Hermening (21%) in a fragmented but well-funded field, with top candidates holding over $700,000 cash on hand as of late March. Democrats' primary remains contested among lower-funded contenders like Fred Clark ($157,000 cash), lacking a clear frontrunner. Absent general election polling, the district's conservative rural base sustains high Republican probabilities ahead of August 11 primaries and the November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,886วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District, with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Trump winning 61% in 2024, anchors trader consensus at 82% odds for a GOP victory in this open seat race following incumbent Tom Tiffany's January gubernatorial bid. Recent early May polls of the Republican primary show Trump-endorsed Michael Alfonso leading at 35% over Kevin Hermening (21%) in a fragmented but well-funded field, with top candidates holding over $700,000 cash on hand as of late March. Democrats' primary remains contested among lower-funded contenders like Fred Clark ($157,000 cash), lacking a clear frontrunner. Absent general election polling, the district's conservative rural base sustains high Republican probabilities ahead of August 11 primaries and the November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,886วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican lean of Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District, with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Trump winning 61% in 2024, anchors trader consensus at 82% odds for a GOP victory in this open seat race following incumbent Tom Tiffany's January gubernatorial bid. Recent early May polls of the Republican primary show Trump-endorsed Michael Alfonso leading at 35% over Kevin Hermening (21%) in a fragmented but well-funded field, with top candidates holding over $700,000 cash on hand as of late March. Democrats' primary remains contested among lower-funded contenders like Fred Clark ($157,000 cash), lacking a clear frontrunner. Absent general election polling, the district's conservative rural base sustains high Republican probabilities ahead of August 11 primaries and the November 3 general.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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