Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show Sverigedemokraterna (SD) support holding steady near or slightly above 19-20 percent. A late-July to early-August Demoskop survey placed SD at 20.2 percent, while a mid-July Novus poll recorded 20.4 percent; earlier June readings from Indikator and Demoskop ranged from 19.2 to 19.4 percent. These figures, part of a broader trend where SD trails only the Social Democrats, reflect continued backing within the Tidö-aligned bloc despite the governing parties trailing the red-green opposition overall. With the campaign entering its final weeks and no major shifts reported in party positioning or voter sentiment, traders assign the over-19 percent outcome a modest edge consistent with the polling range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOver
Over
This market will resolve to “Over” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins at least 19% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins less than 19% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 5:37 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Over” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins at least 19% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins less than 19% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show Sverigedemokraterna (SD) support holding steady near or slightly above 19-20 percent. A late-July to early-August Demoskop survey placed SD at 20.2 percent, while a mid-July Novus poll recorded 20.4 percent; earlier June readings from Indikator and Demoskop ranged from 19.2 to 19.4 percent. These figures, part of a broader trend where SD trails only the Social Democrats, reflect continued backing within the Tidö-aligned bloc despite the governing parties trailing the red-green opposition overall. With the campaign entering its final weeks and no major shifts reported in party positioning or voter sentiment, traders assign the over-19 percent outcome a modest edge consistent with the polling range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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