South Carolina's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 88.5% for the November 3 general election winner. Incumbent William Timmons dominates the June 9 GOP primary, boasting nearly six times the cash on hand ($290,000) of challenger David Atchley and over 60 times that of Robert Lee as of late March filings, underscoring limited primary upset risk despite past close races like his 2024 51.6% primary win. Democratic primary candidate Courtney McClain trails financially with negative cash reserves, reinforcing historical GOP margins such as Timmons' 60% 2024 general victory; no recent polls or developments have shifted this positioning ahead of the primary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSC-04 House Election Winner
SC-04 House Election Winner
$11,304 ปริมาณ
$11,304 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
11%
$11,304 ปริมาณ
$11,304 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
11%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 88.5% for the November 3 general election winner. Incumbent William Timmons dominates the June 9 GOP primary, boasting nearly six times the cash on hand ($290,000) of challenger David Atchley and over 60 times that of Robert Lee as of late March filings, underscoring limited primary upset risk despite past close races like his 2024 51.6% primary win. Democratic primary candidate Courtney McClain trails financially with negative cash reserves, reinforcing historical GOP margins such as Timmons' 60% 2024 general victory; no recent polls or developments have shifted this positioning ahead of the primary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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