Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 79% implied probability for South Carolina's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's underlying partisan lean—recent election data shows 58% Republican performance—and ongoing state legislative efforts to redraw maps ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn, 85, announced his reelection bid in March but faces a competitive challenge amid his advanced age and no recent polling showing a clear edge. Last week's House discussions on new districts aimed to bolster GOP strength in SC-06, though a Senate special session failed May 12, leaving primaries (originally June 9) potentially delayed; these dynamics underscore traders' assessment of Republican path-to-victory in this longtime Democratic holdout.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSC-06 House Election Winner
SC-06 House Election Winner
$12,842 ปริมาณ
$12,842 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
80%
Democratic Party
18%
$12,842 ปริมาณ
$12,842 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,273 ปริมาณ
80%
Democratic Party
$5,568 ปริมาณ
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 79% implied probability for South Carolina's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's underlying partisan lean—recent election data shows 58% Republican performance—and ongoing state legislative efforts to redraw maps ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn, 85, announced his reelection bid in March but faces a competitive challenge amid his advanced age and no recent polling showing a clear edge. Last week's House discussions on new districts aimed to bolster GOP strength in SC-06, though a Senate special session failed May 12, leaving primaries (originally June 9) potentially delayed; these dynamics underscore traders' assessment of Republican path-to-victory in this longtime Democratic holdout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,842วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 79% implied probability for South Carolina's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's underlying partisan lean—recent election data shows 58% Republican performance—and ongoing state legislative efforts to redraw maps ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn, 85, announced his reelection bid in March but faces a competitive challenge amid his advanced age and no recent polling showing a clear edge. Last week's House discussions on new districts aimed to bolster GOP strength in SC-06, though a Senate special session failed May 12, leaving primaries (originally June 9) potentially delayed; these dynamics underscore traders' assessment of Republican path-to-victory in this longtime Democratic holdout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,842วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 79% implied probability for South Carolina's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's underlying partisan lean—recent election data shows 58% Republican performance—and ongoing state legislative efforts to redraw maps ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn, 85, announced his reelection bid in March but faces a competitive challenge amid his advanced age and no recent polling showing a clear edge. Last week's House discussions on new districts aimed to bolster GOP strength in SC-06, though a Senate special session failed May 12, leaving primaries (originally June 9) potentially delayed; these dynamics underscore traders' assessment of Republican path-to-victory in this longtime Democratic holdout.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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