Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in New York’s 23rd congressional district, where the R+10 partisan voting index and 2024 presidential results underscore a consistent Republican advantage across the Southern Tier and Buffalo suburbs. Langworthy advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Aaron Gies emerged from a low-turnout primary against limited opposition. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and the incumbent’s established profile. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave within the November resolution window could narrow the margin, though such shifts have been rare in comparable districts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-23 House Election Winner
NY-23 House Election Winner
$24,448 ปริมาณ
$24,448 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
9%
$24,448 ปริมาณ
$24,448 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$11,070 ปริมาณ
92%
Democratic Party
$13,378 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in New York’s 23rd congressional district, where the R+10 partisan voting index and 2024 presidential results underscore a consistent Republican advantage across the Southern Tier and Buffalo suburbs. Langworthy advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Aaron Gies emerged from a low-turnout primary against limited opposition. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and the incumbent’s established profile. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave within the November resolution window could narrow the margin, though such shifts have been rare in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,448วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in New York’s 23rd congressional district, where the R+10 partisan voting index and 2024 presidential results underscore a consistent Republican advantage across the Southern Tier and Buffalo suburbs. Langworthy advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Aaron Gies emerged from a low-turnout primary against limited opposition. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and the incumbent’s established profile. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave within the November resolution window could narrow the margin, though such shifts have been rare in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,448วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in New York’s 23rd congressional district, where the R+10 partisan voting index and 2024 presidential results underscore a consistent Republican advantage across the Southern Tier and Buffalo suburbs. Langworthy advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Aaron Gies emerged from a low-turnout primary against limited opposition. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and the incumbent’s established profile. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave within the November resolution window could narrow the margin, though such shifts have been rare in comparable districts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย