Republican incumbent Brian Babin, first elected in 2014, secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Rhonda Hart in the November general election for Texas's 36th congressional district. Recent redistricting removed more competitive areas and reinforced the seat's Republican lean, producing a Cook Political Report Solid R rating and a partisan voting index that favors the GOP by double digits. Historical results in Southeast Texas counties, combined with strong 2024 presidential margins and the absence of major scandals or competitive primary challenges, underpin the 92.5 percent trader consensus for the Republican nominee. A Democratic victory would require an unusually favorable national midterm environment, significant local turnout shifts, or late developments such as candidate withdrawal that have not emerged in current reporting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-36 House Election Winner
TX-36 House Election Winner
$28,125 ปริมาณ
$28,125 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$28,125 ปริมาณ
$28,125 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,235 ปริมาณ
93%
Democratic Party
$19,890 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brian Babin, first elected in 2014, secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Rhonda Hart in the November general election for Texas's 36th congressional district. Recent redistricting removed more competitive areas and reinforced the seat's Republican lean, producing a Cook Political Report Solid R rating and a partisan voting index that favors the GOP by double digits. Historical results in Southeast Texas counties, combined with strong 2024 presidential margins and the absence of major scandals or competitive primary challenges, underpin the 92.5 percent trader consensus for the Republican nominee. A Democratic victory would require an unusually favorable national midterm environment, significant local turnout shifts, or late developments such as candidate withdrawal that have not emerged in current reporting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,125วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brian Babin, first elected in 2014, secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Rhonda Hart in the November general election for Texas's 36th congressional district. Recent redistricting removed more competitive areas and reinforced the seat's Republican lean, producing a Cook Political Report Solid R rating and a partisan voting index that favors the GOP by double digits. Historical results in Southeast Texas counties, combined with strong 2024 presidential margins and the absence of major scandals or competitive primary challenges, underpin the 92.5 percent trader consensus for the Republican nominee. A Democratic victory would require an unusually favorable national midterm environment, significant local turnout shifts, or late developments such as candidate withdrawal that have not emerged in current reporting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,125วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Brian Babin, first elected in 2014, secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Rhonda Hart in the November general election for Texas's 36th congressional district. Recent redistricting removed more competitive areas and reinforced the seat's Republican lean, producing a Cook Political Report Solid R rating and a partisan voting index that favors the GOP by double digits. Historical results in Southeast Texas counties, combined with strong 2024 presidential margins and the absence of major scandals or competitive primary challenges, underpin the 92.5 percent trader consensus for the Republican nominee. A Democratic victory would require an unusually favorable national midterm environment, significant local turnout shifts, or late developments such as candidate withdrawal that have not emerged in current reporting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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