Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured an easy win in the May 12 primary, positioning him as the GOP nominee in solidly red Nebraska, where traders price Republicans at 58.5% to retain the seat amid historical base rates favoring incumbents in the state. Independent Dan Osborn, who nearly upset Sen. Deb Fischer in 2024, gains traction at 38.5% following Democrat Cindy Burbank's primary victory and subsequent pledge to drop out and endorse him, clearing the Democratic lane. A recent Tavern Research poll (May 8-11) shows Osborn leading Ricketts 46%-42% among likely voters, highlighting a competitive general election path shaped by Osborn's populist appeal to working-class voters, though GOP advantages in turnout and Electoral College math sustain the Republican edge ahead of November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRepublican 59%
Independent 39%
Democrat 3.6%
$113,333 ปริมาณ
$113,333 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
59%
Independent
39%
Democrat
4%
Republican 59%
Independent 39%
Democrat 3.6%
$113,333 ปริมาณ
$113,333 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$47,902 ปริมาณ
59%
Independent
$2,936 ปริมาณ
39%
Democrat
$62,495 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured an easy win in the May 12 primary, positioning him as the GOP nominee in solidly red Nebraska, where traders price Republicans at 58.5% to retain the seat amid historical base rates favoring incumbents in the state. Independent Dan Osborn, who nearly upset Sen. Deb Fischer in 2024, gains traction at 38.5% following Democrat Cindy Burbank's primary victory and subsequent pledge to drop out and endorse him, clearing the Democratic lane. A recent Tavern Research poll (May 8-11) shows Osborn leading Ricketts 46%-42% among likely voters, highlighting a competitive general election path shaped by Osborn's populist appeal to working-class voters, though GOP advantages in turnout and Electoral College math sustain the Republican edge ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$113,333วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured an easy win in the May 12 primary, positioning him as the GOP nominee in solidly red Nebraska, where traders price Republicans at 58.5% to retain the seat amid historical base rates favoring incumbents in the state. Independent Dan Osborn, who nearly upset Sen. Deb Fischer in 2024, gains traction at 38.5% following Democrat Cindy Burbank's primary victory and subsequent pledge to drop out and endorse him, clearing the Democratic lane. A recent Tavern Research poll (May 8-11) shows Osborn leading Ricketts 46%-42% among likely voters, highlighting a competitive general election path shaped by Osborn's populist appeal to working-class voters, though GOP advantages in turnout and Electoral College math sustain the Republican edge ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$113,333วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured an easy win in the May 12 primary, positioning him as the GOP nominee in solidly red Nebraska, where traders price Republicans at 58.5% to retain the seat amid historical base rates favoring incumbents in the state. Independent Dan Osborn, who nearly upset Sen. Deb Fischer in 2024, gains traction at 38.5% following Democrat Cindy Burbank's primary victory and subsequent pledge to drop out and endorse him, clearing the Democratic lane. A recent Tavern Research poll (May 8-11) shows Osborn leading Ricketts 46%-42% among likely voters, highlighting a competitive general election path shaped by Osborn's populist appeal to working-class voters, though GOP advantages in turnout and Electoral College math sustain the Republican edge ahead of November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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