Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in the NY-11 House race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, her established incumbency advantage, and strong performance in the June 2026 primaries where she faced no significant opposition. Nonpartisan race raters classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns, fundraising edges, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the Staten Island and Brooklyn portions of the district. Michael DeCillis secured the Democratic nomination but trails substantially in trader consensus. Potential shifts could stem from late national political waves, candidate health events, major scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a midterm environment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-11 House Election Winner
$25,855 ปริมาณ
$25,855 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$25,855 ปริมาณ
$25,855 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in the NY-11 House race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, her established incumbency advantage, and strong performance in the June 2026 primaries where she faced no significant opposition. Nonpartisan race raters classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns, fundraising edges, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the Staten Island and Brooklyn portions of the district. Michael DeCillis secured the Democratic nomination but trails substantially in trader consensus. Potential shifts could stem from late national political waves, candidate health events, major scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a midterm environment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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