Florida's 20th Congressional District, with its Cook PVI of D+22 and history of Democratic general election margins exceeding 70%, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for a Democratic Party winner in the November 3 general election, even after incumbent Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid federal fraud charges. The open seat features a crowded August 18 Democratic primary led in fundraising by Elijah Manley ($780K raised), alongside Luther Campbell and Dale Holness, while Republican contenders like Rod Joseph lag far behind in resources. Local Black leaders' May 4 rebuke of potential Debbie Wasserman Schultz entry highlights key voting blocs. Rare challenges could arise from a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, depressed turnout, or a massive Republican midterm wave, though Solid D ratings from Cook Political Report signal formidable barriers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-20 House Election Winner
FL-20 House Election Winner
$15,060 ปริมาณ
$15,060 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$15,060 ปริมาณ
$15,060 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,956 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$9,104 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 20th Congressional District, with its Cook PVI of D+22 and history of Democratic general election margins exceeding 70%, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for a Democratic Party winner in the November 3 general election, even after incumbent Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid federal fraud charges. The open seat features a crowded August 18 Democratic primary led in fundraising by Elijah Manley ($780K raised), alongside Luther Campbell and Dale Holness, while Republican contenders like Rod Joseph lag far behind in resources. Local Black leaders' May 4 rebuke of potential Debbie Wasserman Schultz entry highlights key voting blocs. Rare challenges could arise from a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, depressed turnout, or a massive Republican midterm wave, though Solid D ratings from Cook Political Report signal formidable barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,060วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 20th Congressional District, with its Cook PVI of D+22 and history of Democratic general election margins exceeding 70%, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for a Democratic Party winner in the November 3 general election, even after incumbent Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid federal fraud charges. The open seat features a crowded August 18 Democratic primary led in fundraising by Elijah Manley ($780K raised), alongside Luther Campbell and Dale Holness, while Republican contenders like Rod Joseph lag far behind in resources. Local Black leaders' May 4 rebuke of potential Debbie Wasserman Schultz entry highlights key voting blocs. Rare challenges could arise from a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, depressed turnout, or a massive Republican midterm wave, though Solid D ratings from Cook Political Report signal formidable barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,060วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 20th Congressional District, with its Cook PVI of D+22 and history of Democratic general election margins exceeding 70%, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for a Democratic Party winner in the November 3 general election, even after incumbent Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid federal fraud charges. The open seat features a crowded August 18 Democratic primary led in fundraising by Elijah Manley ($780K raised), alongside Luther Campbell and Dale Holness, while Republican contenders like Rod Joseph lag far behind in resources. Local Black leaders' May 4 rebuke of potential Debbie Wasserman Schultz entry highlights key voting blocs. Rare challenges could arise from a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, depressed turnout, or a massive Republican midterm wave, though Solid D ratings from Cook Political Report signal formidable barriers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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