Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in the PA-02 race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean in Philadelphia and surrounding areas, where recent presidential voting and turnout patterns have consistently favored the party by wide margins. Boyle, seeking a seventh term as ranking member of the House Budget Committee, faced no significant primary opposition in May 2026 and benefits from established name recognition and fundraising advantages. Republican nominee Jessica Arriaga, a healthcare professional, has not generated notable momentum or outside support. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Democratic with little movement since the primaries. Only an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal, health development, or unprecedented national Republican wave would realistically alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPA-02 House Election Winner
PA-02 House Election Winner
$35,710 ปริมาณ
$35,710 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
2%
$35,710 ปริมาณ
$35,710 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,352 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$29,358 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in the PA-02 race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean in Philadelphia and surrounding areas, where recent presidential voting and turnout patterns have consistently favored the party by wide margins. Boyle, seeking a seventh term as ranking member of the House Budget Committee, faced no significant primary opposition in May 2026 and benefits from established name recognition and fundraising advantages. Republican nominee Jessica Arriaga, a healthcare professional, has not generated notable momentum or outside support. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Democratic with little movement since the primaries. Only an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal, health development, or unprecedented national Republican wave would realistically alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,710วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in the PA-02 race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean in Philadelphia and surrounding areas, where recent presidential voting and turnout patterns have consistently favored the party by wide margins. Boyle, seeking a seventh term as ranking member of the House Budget Committee, faced no significant primary opposition in May 2026 and benefits from established name recognition and fundraising advantages. Republican nominee Jessica Arriaga, a healthcare professional, has not generated notable momentum or outside support. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Democratic with little movement since the primaries. Only an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal, health development, or unprecedented national Republican wave would realistically alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,710วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in the PA-02 race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean in Philadelphia and surrounding areas, where recent presidential voting and turnout patterns have consistently favored the party by wide margins. Boyle, seeking a seventh term as ranking member of the House Budget Committee, faced no significant primary opposition in May 2026 and benefits from established name recognition and fundraising advantages. Republican nominee Jessica Arriaga, a healthcare professional, has not generated notable momentum or outside support. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Democratic with little movement since the primaries. Only an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal, health development, or unprecedented national Republican wave would realistically alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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