Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 84.5% implied probability for the TN-08 House seat, driven by incumbent David Kustoff's unopposed Republican primary path and commanding fundraising lead of $2.8 million cash on hand as of late March 2026. Kustoff's 72% victory margin in 2024 underscores the district's Solid Republican rating and R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index. The GOP-led Tennessee legislature's new congressional map, signed into law by Gov. Bill Lee on May 7, further entrenches Republican advantages statewide by shifting to a projected 9-0 delegation, with minimal boundary shifts in TN-08. Democratic primary contenders Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins show negligible fundraising, while independents pose little threat ahead of the August 6 primaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTN-08 House Election Winner
TN-08 House Election Winner
$14,344 ปริมาณ
$14,344 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
16%
$14,344 ปริมาณ
$14,344 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,500 ปริมาณ
85%
Democratic Party
$4,844 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 84.5% implied probability for the TN-08 House seat, driven by incumbent David Kustoff's unopposed Republican primary path and commanding fundraising lead of $2.8 million cash on hand as of late March 2026. Kustoff's 72% victory margin in 2024 underscores the district's Solid Republican rating and R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index. The GOP-led Tennessee legislature's new congressional map, signed into law by Gov. Bill Lee on May 7, further entrenches Republican advantages statewide by shifting to a projected 9-0 delegation, with minimal boundary shifts in TN-08. Democratic primary contenders Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins show negligible fundraising, while independents pose little threat ahead of the August 6 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,344วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 84.5% implied probability for the TN-08 House seat, driven by incumbent David Kustoff's unopposed Republican primary path and commanding fundraising lead of $2.8 million cash on hand as of late March 2026. Kustoff's 72% victory margin in 2024 underscores the district's Solid Republican rating and R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index. The GOP-led Tennessee legislature's new congressional map, signed into law by Gov. Bill Lee on May 7, further entrenches Republican advantages statewide by shifting to a projected 9-0 delegation, with minimal boundary shifts in TN-08. Democratic primary contenders Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins show negligible fundraising, while independents pose little threat ahead of the August 6 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,344วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 84.5% implied probability for the TN-08 House seat, driven by incumbent David Kustoff's unopposed Republican primary path and commanding fundraising lead of $2.8 million cash on hand as of late March 2026. Kustoff's 72% victory margin in 2024 underscores the district's Solid Republican rating and R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index. The GOP-led Tennessee legislature's new congressional map, signed into law by Gov. Bill Lee on May 7, further entrenches Republican advantages statewide by shifting to a projected 9-0 delegation, with minimal boundary shifts in TN-08. Democratic primary contenders Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins show negligible fundraising, while independents pose little threat ahead of the August 6 primaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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