Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3, 2026, primary with 100% of the vote, reinforcing trader consensus on his commanding position in the solidly Republican TX-01 district (Cook PVI R+24). The district, spanning rural Northeast Texas including Tyler and Texarkana, consistently delivers overwhelming Republican margins, as seen in Moran's prior unopposed general election win. Democrats head to a May 26 primary runoff between Yolanda Prince and Dax Alexander amid dismal fundraising—Moran holds over $634,000 cash on hand versus Democrats' under $2,000—signaling weak opposition. An independent, Sonia Canchola, appears on the November 3 ballot but poses minimal threat. Realistic challenges include a Moran scandal, health issue, or massive national Democratic wave shifting turnout in this safe seat.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-01 House Election Winner
TX-01 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,625 ปริมาณ
94%
Democratic Party
$3,487 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3, 2026, primary with 100% of the vote, reinforcing trader consensus on his commanding position in the solidly Republican TX-01 district (Cook PVI R+24). The district, spanning rural Northeast Texas including Tyler and Texarkana, consistently delivers overwhelming Republican margins, as seen in Moran's prior unopposed general election win. Democrats head to a May 26 primary runoff between Yolanda Prince and Dax Alexander amid dismal fundraising—Moran holds over $634,000 cash on hand versus Democrats' under $2,000—signaling weak opposition. An independent, Sonia Canchola, appears on the November 3 ballot but poses minimal threat. Realistic challenges include a Moran scandal, health issue, or massive national Democratic wave shifting turnout in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,112วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3, 2026, primary with 100% of the vote, reinforcing trader consensus on his commanding position in the solidly Republican TX-01 district (Cook PVI R+24). The district, spanning rural Northeast Texas including Tyler and Texarkana, consistently delivers overwhelming Republican margins, as seen in Moran's prior unopposed general election win. Democrats head to a May 26 primary runoff between Yolanda Prince and Dax Alexander amid dismal fundraising—Moran holds over $634,000 cash on hand versus Democrats' under $2,000—signaling weak opposition. An independent, Sonia Canchola, appears on the November 3 ballot but poses minimal threat. Realistic challenges include a Moran scandal, health issue, or massive national Democratic wave shifting turnout in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,112วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3, 2026, primary with 100% of the vote, reinforcing trader consensus on his commanding position in the solidly Republican TX-01 district (Cook PVI R+24). The district, spanning rural Northeast Texas including Tyler and Texarkana, consistently delivers overwhelming Republican margins, as seen in Moran's prior unopposed general election win. Democrats head to a May 26 primary runoff between Yolanda Prince and Dax Alexander amid dismal fundraising—Moran holds over $634,000 cash on hand versus Democrats' under $2,000—signaling weak opposition. An independent, Sonia Canchola, appears on the November 3 ballot but poses minimal threat. Realistic challenges include a Moran scandal, health issue, or massive national Democratic wave shifting turnout in this safe seat.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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