Redistricting has transformed Utah's 1st congressional district into a compact, Salt Lake City-centered seat with a D+12 Partisan Voter Index, shifting it from longstanding Republican control to a solidly Democratic position on the new map. The open seat, following the prior incumbent's move to another district, pairs with Democratic nominee Ben McAdams's primary victory and prior congressional experience against a lesser-known Republican challenger. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the Democratic Party at a commanding implied probability. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require an unexpected national Republican surge, candidate health issues, or major scandal in the final months before the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUT-01 House Election Winner
UT-01 House Election Winner
$36,957 ปริมาณ
$36,957 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$36,957 ปริมาณ
$36,957 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,600 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$31,357 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has transformed Utah's 1st congressional district into a compact, Salt Lake City-centered seat with a D+12 Partisan Voter Index, shifting it from longstanding Republican control to a solidly Democratic position on the new map. The open seat, following the prior incumbent's move to another district, pairs with Democratic nominee Ben McAdams's primary victory and prior congressional experience against a lesser-known Republican challenger. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the Democratic Party at a commanding implied probability. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require an unexpected national Republican surge, candidate health issues, or major scandal in the final months before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,957วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has transformed Utah's 1st congressional district into a compact, Salt Lake City-centered seat with a D+12 Partisan Voter Index, shifting it from longstanding Republican control to a solidly Democratic position on the new map. The open seat, following the prior incumbent's move to another district, pairs with Democratic nominee Ben McAdams's primary victory and prior congressional experience against a lesser-known Republican challenger. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the Democratic Party at a commanding implied probability. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require an unexpected national Republican surge, candidate health issues, or major scandal in the final months before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,957วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has transformed Utah's 1st congressional district into a compact, Salt Lake City-centered seat with a D+12 Partisan Voter Index, shifting it from longstanding Republican control to a solidly Democratic position on the new map. The open seat, following the prior incumbent's move to another district, pairs with Democratic nominee Ben McAdams's primary victory and prior congressional experience against a lesser-known Republican challenger. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the Democratic Party at a commanding implied probability. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require an unexpected national Republican surge, candidate health issues, or major scandal in the final months before the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย