Utah's 2nd congressional district has become a solidly Republican seat following court-ordered redistricting that shifted its boundaries northward to include Box Elder, Cache, Davis, Rich, and much of Weber counties. Incumbent Representative Blake Moore secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary, while Democrat Peter Crosby emerged as the general election opponent. The district's strong Republican baseline, reflected in prior presidential margins exceeding 25 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome by a wide margin ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Factors sustaining this positioning include consistent Republican performance in the region and limited Democratic infrastructure. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unusually high turnout mobilization, though historical patterns in comparable districts indicate low probability of reversal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUT-02 House Election Winner
UT-02 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,353 ปริมาณ
95%
Democratic Party
$5,958 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 2nd congressional district has become a solidly Republican seat following court-ordered redistricting that shifted its boundaries northward to include Box Elder, Cache, Davis, Rich, and much of Weber counties. Incumbent Representative Blake Moore secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary, while Democrat Peter Crosby emerged as the general election opponent. The district's strong Republican baseline, reflected in prior presidential margins exceeding 25 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome by a wide margin ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Factors sustaining this positioning include consistent Republican performance in the region and limited Democratic infrastructure. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unusually high turnout mobilization, though historical patterns in comparable districts indicate low probability of reversal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,311วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 2nd congressional district has become a solidly Republican seat following court-ordered redistricting that shifted its boundaries northward to include Box Elder, Cache, Davis, Rich, and much of Weber counties. Incumbent Representative Blake Moore secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary, while Democrat Peter Crosby emerged as the general election opponent. The district's strong Republican baseline, reflected in prior presidential margins exceeding 25 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome by a wide margin ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Factors sustaining this positioning include consistent Republican performance in the region and limited Democratic infrastructure. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unusually high turnout mobilization, though historical patterns in comparable districts indicate low probability of reversal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,311วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 2nd congressional district has become a solidly Republican seat following court-ordered redistricting that shifted its boundaries northward to include Box Elder, Cache, Davis, Rich, and much of Weber counties. Incumbent Representative Blake Moore secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary, while Democrat Peter Crosby emerged as the general election opponent. The district's strong Republican baseline, reflected in prior presidential margins exceeding 25 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome by a wide margin ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Factors sustaining this positioning include consistent Republican performance in the region and limited Democratic infrastructure. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unusually high turnout mobilization, though historical patterns in comparable districts indicate low probability of reversal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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