Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger, seeking a fourth term in the safely Republican TN-01 with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+29, dominates trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for her party's victory, driven by her unopposed August 6 primary path after rivals withdrew, massive fundraising edge with over $1.8 million cash on hand, and consistent general election landslides exceeding 74% in recent cycles. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized in May 2026 preserved the district's strong GOP lean in northeast Tennessee, facing a fragmented Democratic primary among Kristi Burke, Herman Garcia, and David Kerr Jr. Scenarios to challenge this include an unexpectedly strong Democratic nominee, incumbent scandal, or national midterm wave, though structural advantages make shifts unlikely ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTN-01 House Election Winner
TN-01 House Election Winner
$12,202 ปริมาณ
$12,202 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
6%
$12,202 ปริมาณ
$12,202 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,982 ปริมาณ
93%
Democratic Party
$4,220 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger, seeking a fourth term in the safely Republican TN-01 with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+29, dominates trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for her party's victory, driven by her unopposed August 6 primary path after rivals withdrew, massive fundraising edge with over $1.8 million cash on hand, and consistent general election landslides exceeding 74% in recent cycles. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized in May 2026 preserved the district's strong GOP lean in northeast Tennessee, facing a fragmented Democratic primary among Kristi Burke, Herman Garcia, and David Kerr Jr. Scenarios to challenge this include an unexpectedly strong Democratic nominee, incumbent scandal, or national midterm wave, though structural advantages make shifts unlikely ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,202วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger, seeking a fourth term in the safely Republican TN-01 with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+29, dominates trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for her party's victory, driven by her unopposed August 6 primary path after rivals withdrew, massive fundraising edge with over $1.8 million cash on hand, and consistent general election landslides exceeding 74% in recent cycles. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized in May 2026 preserved the district's strong GOP lean in northeast Tennessee, facing a fragmented Democratic primary among Kristi Burke, Herman Garcia, and David Kerr Jr. Scenarios to challenge this include an unexpectedly strong Democratic nominee, incumbent scandal, or national midterm wave, though structural advantages make shifts unlikely ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,202วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger, seeking a fourth term in the safely Republican TN-01 with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+29, dominates trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for her party's victory, driven by her unopposed August 6 primary path after rivals withdrew, massive fundraising edge with over $1.8 million cash on hand, and consistent general election landslides exceeding 74% in recent cycles. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized in May 2026 preserved the district's strong GOP lean in northeast Tennessee, facing a fragmented Democratic primary among Kristi Burke, Herman Garcia, and David Kerr Jr. Scenarios to challenge this include an unexpectedly strong Democratic nominee, incumbent scandal, or national midterm wave, though structural advantages make shifts unlikely ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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