Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 73.5% for Nevada's 2nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpinned by consistent GOP victories and no Democratic wins in modern history. Incumbent Mark Amodei's February retirement opened the race, drawing crowded primaries—13 Republicans and 11 Democrats—with the June 9 primary now weeks away potentially consolidating a strong GOP nominee. Recent FEC filings through March show Republican David Flippo leading fundraising at over $1.7 million raised and $644,000 cash on hand, bolstering the party's edge despite modest Democratic outspending overall. Absent polls, traders price in the district's partisan lean and historical base rates for an R hold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNV-02 House Election Winner
NV-02 House Election Winner
$13,676 ปริมาณ
$13,676 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
74%
Democratic Party
24%
$13,676 ปริมาณ
$13,676 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,317 ปริมาณ
74%
Democratic Party
$3,359 ปริมาณ
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 73.5% for Nevada's 2nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpinned by consistent GOP victories and no Democratic wins in modern history. Incumbent Mark Amodei's February retirement opened the race, drawing crowded primaries—13 Republicans and 11 Democrats—with the June 9 primary now weeks away potentially consolidating a strong GOP nominee. Recent FEC filings through March show Republican David Flippo leading fundraising at over $1.7 million raised and $644,000 cash on hand, bolstering the party's edge despite modest Democratic outspending overall. Absent polls, traders price in the district's partisan lean and historical base rates for an R hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,676วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 73.5% for Nevada's 2nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpinned by consistent GOP victories and no Democratic wins in modern history. Incumbent Mark Amodei's February retirement opened the race, drawing crowded primaries—13 Republicans and 11 Democrats—with the June 9 primary now weeks away potentially consolidating a strong GOP nominee. Recent FEC filings through March show Republican David Flippo leading fundraising at over $1.7 million raised and $644,000 cash on hand, bolstering the party's edge despite modest Democratic outspending overall. Absent polls, traders price in the district's partisan lean and historical base rates for an R hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,676วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 73.5% for Nevada's 2nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpinned by consistent GOP victories and no Democratic wins in modern history. Incumbent Mark Amodei's February retirement opened the race, drawing crowded primaries—13 Republicans and 11 Democrats—with the June 9 primary now weeks away potentially consolidating a strong GOP nominee. Recent FEC filings through March show Republican David Flippo leading fundraising at over $1.7 million raised and $644,000 cash on hand, bolstering the party's edge despite modest Democratic outspending overall. Absent polls, traders price in the district's partisan lean and historical base rates for an R hold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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