Washington's 6th congressional district carries a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles, including the 2024 election where the Democratic nominee secured 56.7% of the vote. Incumbent Emily Randall faces a Republican primary challenger and several minor candidates ahead of the August 2026 top-two primary and November general election, but forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic due to the district's composition across the Olympic and Kitsap peninsulas and parts of Tacoma. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts through mid-2026. A significant national Republican surge, unexpected scandal, or sharp change in local turnout patterns could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability given historical baselines.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWA-06 House Election Winner
WA-06 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,574 ปริมาณ
96%
Republican Party
$3,309 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 6th congressional district carries a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles, including the 2024 election where the Democratic nominee secured 56.7% of the vote. Incumbent Emily Randall faces a Republican primary challenger and several minor candidates ahead of the August 2026 top-two primary and November general election, but forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic due to the district's composition across the Olympic and Kitsap peninsulas and parts of Tacoma. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts through mid-2026. A significant national Republican surge, unexpected scandal, or sharp change in local turnout patterns could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability given historical baselines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,883วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 6th congressional district carries a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles, including the 2024 election where the Democratic nominee secured 56.7% of the vote. Incumbent Emily Randall faces a Republican primary challenger and several minor candidates ahead of the August 2026 top-two primary and November general election, but forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic due to the district's composition across the Olympic and Kitsap peninsulas and parts of Tacoma. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts through mid-2026. A significant national Republican surge, unexpected scandal, or sharp change in local turnout patterns could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability given historical baselines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,883วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 6th congressional district carries a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles, including the 2024 election where the Democratic nominee secured 56.7% of the vote. Incumbent Emily Randall faces a Republican primary challenger and several minor candidates ahead of the August 2026 top-two primary and November general election, but forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic due to the district's composition across the Olympic and Kitsap peninsulas and parts of Tacoma. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts through mid-2026. A significant national Republican surge, unexpected scandal, or sharp change in local turnout patterns could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability given historical baselines.
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