Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen’s strong position in Washington’s 2nd congressional district stems from the area’s consistent Democratic lean, including Kamala Harris’s 2024 margin, combined with his long tenure and primary performance. The August 4 top-two primary advanced Larsen and Republican Edwin Feller to the November 3 general, with Larsen securing roughly 42.5% against a divided field. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the district’s voting patterns in presidential and down-ballot races. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural advantages. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a national political surge favoring Republicans, an unforeseen scandal or health event affecting Larsen, or unusually high GOP turnout in key suburban and rural precincts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWA-02 House Election Winner
WA-02 House Election Winner
$16,475 ปริมาณ
$16,475 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$16,475 ปริมาณ
$16,475 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,155 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$5,321 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen’s strong position in Washington’s 2nd congressional district stems from the area’s consistent Democratic lean, including Kamala Harris’s 2024 margin, combined with his long tenure and primary performance. The August 4 top-two primary advanced Larsen and Republican Edwin Feller to the November 3 general, with Larsen securing roughly 42.5% against a divided field. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the district’s voting patterns in presidential and down-ballot races. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural advantages. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a national political surge favoring Republicans, an unforeseen scandal or health event affecting Larsen, or unusually high GOP turnout in key suburban and rural precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,475วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen’s strong position in Washington’s 2nd congressional district stems from the area’s consistent Democratic lean, including Kamala Harris’s 2024 margin, combined with his long tenure and primary performance. The August 4 top-two primary advanced Larsen and Republican Edwin Feller to the November 3 general, with Larsen securing roughly 42.5% against a divided field. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the district’s voting patterns in presidential and down-ballot races. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural advantages. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a national political surge favoring Republicans, an unforeseen scandal or health event affecting Larsen, or unusually high GOP turnout in key suburban and rural precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,475วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen’s strong position in Washington’s 2nd congressional district stems from the area’s consistent Democratic lean, including Kamala Harris’s 2024 margin, combined with his long tenure and primary performance. The August 4 top-two primary advanced Larsen and Republican Edwin Feller to the November 3 general, with Larsen securing roughly 42.5% against a divided field. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the district’s voting patterns in presidential and down-ballot races. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural advantages. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a national political surge favoring Republicans, an unforeseen scandal or health event affecting Larsen, or unusually high GOP turnout in key suburban and rural precincts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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