Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene anchors the strong Democratic position in Washington’s 1st congressional district, a Seattle-suburban seat rated Solid D by Cook Political Report with a recent 63% general-election margin. DelBene’s established fundraising edge—over $1.2 million cash on hand—and chair role at the DCCC reinforce structural advantages ahead of the August 4, 2026, top-two primary and November 3 general. Multiple Democratic primary filings and a limited Republican field, including repeat candidate Mary Silva, have kept the seat firmly in the Democratic column according to trader consensus. A major national Republican wave, an unexpected primary upset producing a weaker Democratic nominee, or late-cycle developments such as candidate health or ethics issues could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this district show limited vulnerability to such shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWA-01 House Election Winner
$15,805 ปริมาณ
$15,805 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
3%
$15,805 ปริมาณ
$15,805 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
3%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene anchors the strong Democratic position in Washington’s 1st congressional district, a Seattle-suburban seat rated Solid D by Cook Political Report with a recent 63% general-election margin. DelBene’s established fundraising edge—over $1.2 million cash on hand—and chair role at the DCCC reinforce structural advantages ahead of the August 4, 2026, top-two primary and November 3 general. Multiple Democratic primary filings and a limited Republican field, including repeat candidate Mary Silva, have kept the seat firmly in the Democratic column according to trader consensus. A major national Republican wave, an unexpected primary upset producing a weaker Democratic nominee, or late-cycle developments such as candidate health or ethics issues could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this district show limited vulnerability to such shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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