Incumbent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham's bid for a fifth term drives trader consensus to 80.5% for a GOP victory in South Carolina's solidly red Senate race, reflecting the state's R+13 partisan lean and historical base rates where no Democrat has won since 1992. Despite March polls showing Graham's 61% unfavorability and narrow leads over generic Democrats, his fundraising edge ($11.6 million) and dominance in the June 9 Republican primary market (89% odds) outweigh challenger Mark Lynch's gains in sponsored surveys. Democratic contender Annie Andrews polls closer in hypotheticals (e.g., 47-42 trailing Graham), but structural barriers keep her path uncertain ahead of primaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSouth Carolina Senate Election Winner
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
$29,534 ปริมาณ
$29,534 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
81%
Democrat
21%
$29,534 ปริมาณ
$29,534 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$11,165 ปริมาณ
81%
Democrat
$18,369 ปริมาณ
21%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham's bid for a fifth term drives trader consensus to 80.5% for a GOP victory in South Carolina's solidly red Senate race, reflecting the state's R+13 partisan lean and historical base rates where no Democrat has won since 1992. Despite March polls showing Graham's 61% unfavorability and narrow leads over generic Democrats, his fundraising edge ($11.6 million) and dominance in the June 9 Republican primary market (89% odds) outweigh challenger Mark Lynch's gains in sponsored surveys. Democratic contender Annie Andrews polls closer in hypotheticals (e.g., 47-42 trailing Graham), but structural barriers keep her path uncertain ahead of primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,534วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham's bid for a fifth term drives trader consensus to 80.5% for a GOP victory in South Carolina's solidly red Senate race, reflecting the state's R+13 partisan lean and historical base rates where no Democrat has won since 1992. Despite March polls showing Graham's 61% unfavorability and narrow leads over generic Democrats, his fundraising edge ($11.6 million) and dominance in the June 9 Republican primary market (89% odds) outweigh challenger Mark Lynch's gains in sponsored surveys. Democratic contender Annie Andrews polls closer in hypotheticals (e.g., 47-42 trailing Graham), but structural barriers keep her path uncertain ahead of primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,534วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham's bid for a fifth term drives trader consensus to 80.5% for a GOP victory in South Carolina's solidly red Senate race, reflecting the state's R+13 partisan lean and historical base rates where no Democrat has won since 1992. Despite March polls showing Graham's 61% unfavorability and narrow leads over generic Democrats, his fundraising edge ($11.6 million) and dominance in the June 9 Republican primary market (89% odds) outweigh challenger Mark Lynch's gains in sponsored surveys. Democratic contender Annie Andrews polls closer in hypotheticals (e.g., 47-42 trailing Graham), but structural barriers keep her path uncertain ahead of primaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย