Several open seats and toss-up ratings across swing states such as Ohio, Wisconsin, and Florida drive trader focus on narrow margins, with recent primaries clarifying candidate fields and early general-election polling showing single-digit leads. Wisconsin’s August primary produced a Democratic nominee in a state rated competitive by forecasters, while Florida’s upcoming primary and Ohio’s term-limited dynamics sustain uncertainty. Balanced partisan leans, strong recruitment on both sides, and limited national coattails keep implied probabilities clustered among the top outcomes. Later polls, final candidate positioning, turnout patterns in battleground areas, or unexpected endorsements could widen gaps by sharpening expectations for specific margins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOhio 18.4%
New Hampshire 14.0%
Wisconsin 12.6%
Kansas 12.2%
$11,682 ปริมาณ
$11,682 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Ohio
18%
New Hampshire
9%
Wisconsin
13%
Kansas
12%
Iowa
12%
Texas
12%
Alaska
11%
Florida
10%
Georgia
9%
Nevada
7%
Michigan
5%
Vermont
4%
Oregon
3%
Minnesota
3%
Maine
2%
Arizona
2%
Colorado
2%
New Mexico
2%
Ohio 18.4%
New Hampshire 14.0%
Wisconsin 12.6%
Kansas 12.2%
$11,682 ปริมาณ
$11,682 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Ohio
$423 ปริมาณ
18%
New Hampshire
$272 ปริมาณ
9%
Wisconsin
$970 ปริมาณ
13%
Kansas
$2,109 ปริมาณ
12%
Iowa
$1,480 ปริมาณ
12%
Texas
$1,569 ปริมาณ
12%
Alaska
$207 ปริมาณ
11%
Florida
$224 ปริมาณ
10%
Georgia
$297 ปริมาณ
9%
Nevada
$2,034 ปริมาณ
7%
Michigan
$329 ปริมาณ
5%
Vermont
$176 ปริมาณ
4%
Oregon
$319 ปริมาณ
3%
Minnesota
$214 ปริมาณ
3%
Maine
$355 ปริมาณ
2%
Arizona
$269 ปริมาณ
2%
Colorado
$243 ปริมาณ
2%
New Mexico
$194 ปริมาณ
2%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several open seats and toss-up ratings across swing states such as Ohio, Wisconsin, and Florida drive trader focus on narrow margins, with recent primaries clarifying candidate fields and early general-election polling showing single-digit leads. Wisconsin’s August primary produced a Democratic nominee in a state rated competitive by forecasters, while Florida’s upcoming primary and Ohio’s term-limited dynamics sustain uncertainty. Balanced partisan leans, strong recruitment on both sides, and limited national coattails keep implied probabilities clustered among the top outcomes. Later polls, final candidate positioning, turnout patterns in battleground areas, or unexpected endorsements could widen gaps by sharpening expectations for specific margins.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,682วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several open seats and toss-up ratings across swing states such as Ohio, Wisconsin, and Florida drive trader focus on narrow margins, with recent primaries clarifying candidate fields and early general-election polling showing single-digit leads. Wisconsin’s August primary produced a Democratic nominee in a state rated competitive by forecasters, while Florida’s upcoming primary and Ohio’s term-limited dynamics sustain uncertainty. Balanced partisan leans, strong recruitment on both sides, and limited national coattails keep implied probabilities clustered among the top outcomes. Later polls, final candidate positioning, turnout patterns in battleground areas, or unexpected endorsements could widen gaps by sharpening expectations for specific margins.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,682วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Several open seats and toss-up ratings across swing states such as Ohio, Wisconsin, and Florida drive trader focus on narrow margins, with recent primaries clarifying candidate fields and early general-election polling showing single-digit leads. Wisconsin’s August primary produced a Democratic nominee in a state rated competitive by forecasters, while Florida’s upcoming primary and Ohio’s term-limited dynamics sustain uncertainty. Balanced partisan leans, strong recruitment on both sides, and limited national coattails keep implied probabilities clustered among the top outcomes. Later polls, final candidate positioning, turnout patterns in battleground areas, or unexpected endorsements could widen gaps by sharpening expectations for specific margins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย