Washington's 5th congressional district, encompassing much of eastern Washington including Spokane, maintains an R+5 Partisan Voter Index and a history of Republican victories, including the incumbent's 60.6% win in 2024. Republican Michael Baumgartner secured a dominant position in the August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 48% of the vote, advancing alongside a Democratic challenger amid multiple candidates. Forecasters rate the general election contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's structural advantages for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a 68% implied probability of holding the seat, consistent with polling margins and the absence of major shifts in voter coalitions or campaign dynamics since the primary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWA-05 House Election Winner
WA-05 House Election Winner
$32,060 ปริมาณ
$32,060 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
68%
Democratic Party
33%
$32,060 ปริมาณ
$32,060 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$12,040 ปริมาณ
68%
Democratic Party
$20,020 ปริมาณ
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 5th congressional district, encompassing much of eastern Washington including Spokane, maintains an R+5 Partisan Voter Index and a history of Republican victories, including the incumbent's 60.6% win in 2024. Republican Michael Baumgartner secured a dominant position in the August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 48% of the vote, advancing alongside a Democratic challenger amid multiple candidates. Forecasters rate the general election contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's structural advantages for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a 68% implied probability of holding the seat, consistent with polling margins and the absence of major shifts in voter coalitions or campaign dynamics since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,060วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 5th congressional district, encompassing much of eastern Washington including Spokane, maintains an R+5 Partisan Voter Index and a history of Republican victories, including the incumbent's 60.6% win in 2024. Republican Michael Baumgartner secured a dominant position in the August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 48% of the vote, advancing alongside a Democratic challenger amid multiple candidates. Forecasters rate the general election contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's structural advantages for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a 68% implied probability of holding the seat, consistent with polling margins and the absence of major shifts in voter coalitions or campaign dynamics since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,060วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 5th congressional district, encompassing much of eastern Washington including Spokane, maintains an R+5 Partisan Voter Index and a history of Republican victories, including the incumbent's 60.6% win in 2024. Republican Michael Baumgartner secured a dominant position in the August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 48% of the vote, advancing alongside a Democratic challenger amid multiple candidates. Forecasters rate the general election contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's structural advantages for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a 68% implied probability of holding the seat, consistent with polling margins and the absence of major shifts in voter coalitions or campaign dynamics since the primary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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