Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 79.5% implied probability to win Louisiana's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by a state Senate committee's approval on May 13 of a new congressional map that shifts LA-06 from a Harris +14 district to a strongly Republican Trump +32 seat. This follows a recent Supreme Court ruling invalidating the prior map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting Gov. Jeff Landry to suspend May 16 primaries for redistricting. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields runs unopposed in his primary but faces four Republican challengers in the November 3 general under Louisiana's jungle primary system. Legal challenges persist, but the redrawn boundaries and historical incumbent vulnerability in shifted districts underpin the heavy Republican lean.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLA-06 House Election Winner
LA-06 House Election Winner
$57,025 ปริมาณ
$57,025 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
17%
$57,025 ปริมาณ
$57,025 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$30,656 ปริมาณ
81%
Democratic Party
$26,369 ปริมาณ
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 79.5% implied probability to win Louisiana's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by a state Senate committee's approval on May 13 of a new congressional map that shifts LA-06 from a Harris +14 district to a strongly Republican Trump +32 seat. This follows a recent Supreme Court ruling invalidating the prior map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting Gov. Jeff Landry to suspend May 16 primaries for redistricting. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields runs unopposed in his primary but faces four Republican challengers in the November 3 general under Louisiana's jungle primary system. Legal challenges persist, but the redrawn boundaries and historical incumbent vulnerability in shifted districts underpin the heavy Republican lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$57,025วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 79.5% implied probability to win Louisiana's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by a state Senate committee's approval on May 13 of a new congressional map that shifts LA-06 from a Harris +14 district to a strongly Republican Trump +32 seat. This follows a recent Supreme Court ruling invalidating the prior map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting Gov. Jeff Landry to suspend May 16 primaries for redistricting. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields runs unopposed in his primary but faces four Republican challengers in the November 3 general under Louisiana's jungle primary system. Legal challenges persist, but the redrawn boundaries and historical incumbent vulnerability in shifted districts underpin the heavy Republican lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$57,025วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 79.5% implied probability to win Louisiana's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by a state Senate committee's approval on May 13 of a new congressional map that shifts LA-06 from a Harris +14 district to a strongly Republican Trump +32 seat. This follows a recent Supreme Court ruling invalidating the prior map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting Gov. Jeff Landry to suspend May 16 primaries for redistricting. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields runs unopposed in his primary but faces four Republican challengers in the November 3 general under Louisiana's jungle primary system. Legal challenges persist, but the redrawn boundaries and historical incumbent vulnerability in shifted districts underpin the heavy Republican lean.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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