Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 89.5% to win California's 28th Congressional District House seat, reflecting longtime incumbent Judy Chu's commanding position in this D+14 Cook PVI district, where Kamala Harris carried 61% in 2024 and Chu won 65% last cycle. Ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, Chu holds a massive fundraising edge with $3.7 million cash on hand versus Republican challenger April Verlato's $413 and Democratic rival Peter Roybal's negligible resources. Chu's recent leadership in Eaton Fire recovery—securing over $6 million in aid and a federal tax relief bill passed April 28—has bolstered her local standing amid district rebuilding efforts, underscoring minimal paths for a Republican upset in November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-28 House Election Winner
CA-28 House Election Winner
$89,254 ปริมาณ
$89,254 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
10%
$89,254 ปริมาณ
$89,254 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$41,330 ปริมาณ
90%
Republican Party
$47,923 ปริมาณ
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 89.5% to win California's 28th Congressional District House seat, reflecting longtime incumbent Judy Chu's commanding position in this D+14 Cook PVI district, where Kamala Harris carried 61% in 2024 and Chu won 65% last cycle. Ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, Chu holds a massive fundraising edge with $3.7 million cash on hand versus Republican challenger April Verlato's $413 and Democratic rival Peter Roybal's negligible resources. Chu's recent leadership in Eaton Fire recovery—securing over $6 million in aid and a federal tax relief bill passed April 28—has bolstered her local standing amid district rebuilding efforts, underscoring minimal paths for a Republican upset in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$89,254วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 89.5% to win California's 28th Congressional District House seat, reflecting longtime incumbent Judy Chu's commanding position in this D+14 Cook PVI district, where Kamala Harris carried 61% in 2024 and Chu won 65% last cycle. Ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, Chu holds a massive fundraising edge with $3.7 million cash on hand versus Republican challenger April Verlato's $413 and Democratic rival Peter Roybal's negligible resources. Chu's recent leadership in Eaton Fire recovery—securing over $6 million in aid and a federal tax relief bill passed April 28—has bolstered her local standing amid district rebuilding efforts, underscoring minimal paths for a Republican upset in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$89,254วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 89.5% to win California's 28th Congressional District House seat, reflecting longtime incumbent Judy Chu's commanding position in this D+14 Cook PVI district, where Kamala Harris carried 61% in 2024 and Chu won 65% last cycle. Ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, Chu holds a massive fundraising edge with $3.7 million cash on hand versus Republican challenger April Verlato's $413 and Democratic rival Peter Roybal's negligible resources. Chu's recent leadership in Eaton Fire recovery—securing over $6 million in aid and a federal tax relief bill passed April 28—has bolstered her local standing amid district rebuilding efforts, underscoring minimal paths for a Republican upset in November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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