Illinois's 1st congressional district remains a structurally Democratic seat, with a D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent House elections, including incumbent Jonathan Jackson's 65.8 percent share in 2024. The March 2026 primaries confirmed Jackson as the Democratic nominee after defeating a minor challenger and set Republican Christian Maxwell as the general election opponent for the November 3 contest. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball uniformly rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's South Side Chicago core, suburban Cook County areas, and longstanding voter registration and turnout patterns favoring Democrats. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though an unforeseen national wave, candidate withdrawal, or exceptional crossover voting could narrow the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-01 House Election Winner
IL-01 House Election Winner
$54,342 ปริมาณ
$54,342 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
2%
$54,342 ปริมาณ
$54,342 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$29,792 ปริมาณ
98%
Republican Party
$24,550 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 1st congressional district remains a structurally Democratic seat, with a D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent House elections, including incumbent Jonathan Jackson's 65.8 percent share in 2024. The March 2026 primaries confirmed Jackson as the Democratic nominee after defeating a minor challenger and set Republican Christian Maxwell as the general election opponent for the November 3 contest. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball uniformly rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's South Side Chicago core, suburban Cook County areas, and longstanding voter registration and turnout patterns favoring Democrats. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though an unforeseen national wave, candidate withdrawal, or exceptional crossover voting could narrow the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$54,342วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 1st congressional district remains a structurally Democratic seat, with a D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent House elections, including incumbent Jonathan Jackson's 65.8 percent share in 2024. The March 2026 primaries confirmed Jackson as the Democratic nominee after defeating a minor challenger and set Republican Christian Maxwell as the general election opponent for the November 3 contest. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball uniformly rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's South Side Chicago core, suburban Cook County areas, and longstanding voter registration and turnout patterns favoring Democrats. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though an unforeseen national wave, candidate withdrawal, or exceptional crossover voting could narrow the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$54,342วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 1st congressional district remains a structurally Democratic seat, with a D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent House elections, including incumbent Jonathan Jackson's 65.8 percent share in 2024. The March 2026 primaries confirmed Jackson as the Democratic nominee after defeating a minor challenger and set Republican Christian Maxwell as the general election opponent for the November 3 contest. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball uniformly rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's South Side Chicago core, suburban Cook County areas, and longstanding voter registration and turnout patterns favoring Democrats. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though an unforeseen national wave, candidate withdrawal, or exceptional crossover voting could narrow the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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