Incumbent Republican Russ Fulcher secured the party's nomination for Idaho's 1st congressional district after winning the May 2026 primary by a wide margin against two challengers. The district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent forecaster ratings of solid or safe Republican and recent polling showing Fulcher ahead by double digits, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 94.8 percent. Limited Democratic primary turnout and an independent candidate in the general election have not shifted the outlook. A late-breaking scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout in a midterm environment, or unexpected third-party vote splitting could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current indicators point to limited realistic paths for the Democratic nominee to prevail.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วID-01 House Election Winner
ID-01 House Election Winner
$48,155 ปริมาณ
$48,155 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
4%
$48,155 ปริมาณ
$48,155 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$32,526 ปริมาณ
95%
Democratic Party
$15,629 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russ Fulcher secured the party's nomination for Idaho's 1st congressional district after winning the May 2026 primary by a wide margin against two challengers. The district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent forecaster ratings of solid or safe Republican and recent polling showing Fulcher ahead by double digits, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 94.8 percent. Limited Democratic primary turnout and an independent candidate in the general election have not shifted the outlook. A late-breaking scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout in a midterm environment, or unexpected third-party vote splitting could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current indicators point to limited realistic paths for the Democratic nominee to prevail.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48,155วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russ Fulcher secured the party's nomination for Idaho's 1st congressional district after winning the May 2026 primary by a wide margin against two challengers. The district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent forecaster ratings of solid or safe Republican and recent polling showing Fulcher ahead by double digits, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 94.8 percent. Limited Democratic primary turnout and an independent candidate in the general election have not shifted the outlook. A late-breaking scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout in a midterm environment, or unexpected third-party vote splitting could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current indicators point to limited realistic paths for the Democratic nominee to prevail.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48,155วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Russ Fulcher secured the party's nomination for Idaho's 1st congressional district after winning the May 2026 primary by a wide margin against two challengers. The district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent forecaster ratings of solid or safe Republican and recent polling showing Fulcher ahead by double digits, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 94.8 percent. Limited Democratic primary turnout and an independent candidate in the general election have not shifted the outlook. A late-breaking scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout in a midterm environment, or unexpected third-party vote splitting could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current indicators point to limited realistic paths for the Democratic nominee to prevail.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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