Recent polling for Israel's October 2026 Knesset election shows Likud projected in the low-to-mid 20s seats, reflecting ongoing voter shifts tied to security concerns after October 2023, judicial reform debates, and coalition strains over Haredi military exemptions. Opposition consolidation around parties such as Yashar and Together has narrowed Likud's lead while leaving both major blocs short of a clear 61-seat majority. The market's near-even split between the 20-24 and 25-29 ranges captures this uncertainty, with traders weighing Netanyahu's internal party control ahead of primaries against potential late swings from diplomatic developments, security incidents, or opposition coalition announcements that could alter turnout or bloc alignments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIsrael Election: Likud # of seats?
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
25-29 35%
20-24 33%
<20 18.8%
30-34 15%
$99,187 ปริมาณ
$99,187 ปริมาณ
Oct 27, 2026
<20
19%
20-24
33%
25-29
35%
30-34
15%
35+
3%
25-29 35%
20-24 33%
<20 18.8%
30-34 15%
$99,187 ปริมาณ
$99,187 ปริมาณ
Oct 27, 2026
<20
$33,017 ปริมาณ
19%
20-24
$15,417 ปริมาณ
33%
25-29
$24,180 ปริมาณ
35%
30-34
$18,387 ปริมาณ
15%
35+
$8,186 ปริมาณ
3%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 2026 Knesset election shows Likud projected in the low-to-mid 20s seats, reflecting ongoing voter shifts tied to security concerns after October 2023, judicial reform debates, and coalition strains over Haredi military exemptions. Opposition consolidation around parties such as Yashar and Together has narrowed Likud's lead while leaving both major blocs short of a clear 61-seat majority. The market's near-even split between the 20-24 and 25-29 ranges captures this uncertainty, with traders weighing Netanyahu's internal party control ahead of primaries against potential late swings from diplomatic developments, security incidents, or opposition coalition announcements that could alter turnout or bloc alignments.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$99,187วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 2026 Knesset election shows Likud projected in the low-to-mid 20s seats, reflecting ongoing voter shifts tied to security concerns after October 2023, judicial reform debates, and coalition strains over Haredi military exemptions. Opposition consolidation around parties such as Yashar and Together has narrowed Likud's lead while leaving both major blocs short of a clear 61-seat majority. The market's near-even split between the 20-24 and 25-29 ranges captures this uncertainty, with traders weighing Netanyahu's internal party control ahead of primaries against potential late swings from diplomatic developments, security incidents, or opposition coalition announcements that could alter turnout or bloc alignments.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$99,187วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 2026 Knesset election shows Likud projected in the low-to-mid 20s seats, reflecting ongoing voter shifts tied to security concerns after October 2023, judicial reform debates, and coalition strains over Haredi military exemptions. Opposition consolidation around parties such as Yashar and Together has narrowed Likud's lead while leaving both major blocs short of a clear 61-seat majority. The market's near-even split between the 20-24 and 25-29 ranges captures this uncertainty, with traders weighing Netanyahu's internal party control ahead of primaries against potential late swings from diplomatic developments, security incidents, or opposition coalition announcements that could alter turnout or bloc alignments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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