Recent polling for Israel's October 2026 legislative election shows Likud projected to win between 25 and 29 Knesset seats in multiple surveys, reflecting a tight contest driven by the late-April merger of former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid into the Together party. This consolidation has narrowed Likud's traditional advantage among right-wing voters while boosting opposition totals in several Channel 12 and Kan polls. Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to the 25-29 range because ongoing fluctuations in security-related sentiment and coalition arithmetic continue to limit clear separation between the leading parties. Further shifts could emerge from any major developments in coalition negotiations or changes in voter turnout among religious and centrist blocs ahead of the vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIsrael Election: Likud # of seats?
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
25-29 40%
30-34 31%
20-24 21%
35+ 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 27, 2026
<20
13%
20-24
37%
25-29
40%
30-34
31%
35+
18%
25-29 40%
30-34 31%
20-24 21%
35+ 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 27, 2026
<20
$1,815 ปริมาณ
13%
20-24
$80 ปริมาณ
37%
25-29
$179 ปริมาณ
40%
30-34
$132 ปริมาณ
31%
35+
$236 ปริมาณ
18%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 2026 legislative election shows Likud projected to win between 25 and 29 Knesset seats in multiple surveys, reflecting a tight contest driven by the late-April merger of former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid into the Together party. This consolidation has narrowed Likud's traditional advantage among right-wing voters while boosting opposition totals in several Channel 12 and Kan polls. Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to the 25-29 range because ongoing fluctuations in security-related sentiment and coalition arithmetic continue to limit clear separation between the leading parties. Further shifts could emerge from any major developments in coalition negotiations or changes in voter turnout among religious and centrist blocs ahead of the vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,442วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 2026 legislative election shows Likud projected to win between 25 and 29 Knesset seats in multiple surveys, reflecting a tight contest driven by the late-April merger of former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid into the Together party. This consolidation has narrowed Likud's traditional advantage among right-wing voters while boosting opposition totals in several Channel 12 and Kan polls. Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to the 25-29 range because ongoing fluctuations in security-related sentiment and coalition arithmetic continue to limit clear separation between the leading parties. Further shifts could emerge from any major developments in coalition negotiations or changes in voter turnout among religious and centrist blocs ahead of the vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,442วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 2026 legislative election shows Likud projected to win between 25 and 29 Knesset seats in multiple surveys, reflecting a tight contest driven by the late-April merger of former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid into the Together party. This consolidation has narrowed Likud's traditional advantage among right-wing voters while boosting opposition totals in several Channel 12 and Kan polls. Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to the 25-29 range because ongoing fluctuations in security-related sentiment and coalition arithmetic continue to limit clear separation between the leading parties. Further shifts could emerge from any major developments in coalition negotiations or changes in voter turnout among religious and centrist blocs ahead of the vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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