Recent polling averages place Likud between 19 and 23 seats, aligning with trader emphasis on the 20-24 range as the most probable outcome ahead of the October 27 election. Persistent weakness for the party under Benjamin Netanyahu stems from competition with Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, which frequently leads or ties Likud in surveys, alongside bloc fragmentation that leaves the broader right-religious coalition short of 61 seats. Recent list submissions and threshold dynamics involving smaller parties such as Amcha Yisrael have introduced minor volatility but have not reversed Likud’s downward trend from its current 32 seats. Outlier polls showing 25-29 or higher remain less common, reflecting limited momentum for the incumbent amid divided opposition and undecided voters.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว20-24 40%
25-29 30%
<20 14.9%
30-34 14%
$146,990 ปริมาณ
$146,990 ปริมาณ
Oct 26, 2026
<20
15%
20-24
40%
25-29
30%
30-34
14%
35+
3%
20-24 40%
25-29 30%
<20 14.9%
30-34 14%
$146,990 ปริมาณ
$146,990 ปริมาณ
Oct 26, 2026
<20
$50,412 ปริมาณ
15%
20-24
$20,125 ปริมาณ
40%
25-29
$33,128 ปริมาณ
30%
30-34
$31,973 ปริมาณ
14%
35+
$11,352 ปริมาณ
3%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Likud between 19 and 23 seats, aligning with trader emphasis on the 20-24 range as the most probable outcome ahead of the October 27 election. Persistent weakness for the party under Benjamin Netanyahu stems from competition with Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, which frequently leads or ties Likud in surveys, alongside bloc fragmentation that leaves the broader right-religious coalition short of 61 seats. Recent list submissions and threshold dynamics involving smaller parties such as Amcha Yisrael have introduced minor volatility but have not reversed Likud’s downward trend from its current 32 seats. Outlier polls showing 25-29 or higher remain less common, reflecting limited momentum for the incumbent amid divided opposition and undecided voters.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$146,990วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Likud between 19 and 23 seats, aligning with trader emphasis on the 20-24 range as the most probable outcome ahead of the October 27 election. Persistent weakness for the party under Benjamin Netanyahu stems from competition with Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, which frequently leads or ties Likud in surveys, alongside bloc fragmentation that leaves the broader right-religious coalition short of 61 seats. Recent list submissions and threshold dynamics involving smaller parties such as Amcha Yisrael have introduced minor volatility but have not reversed Likud’s downward trend from its current 32 seats. Outlier polls showing 25-29 or higher remain less common, reflecting limited momentum for the incumbent amid divided opposition and undecided voters.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$146,990วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Likud between 19 and 23 seats, aligning with trader emphasis on the 20-24 range as the most probable outcome ahead of the October 27 election. Persistent weakness for the party under Benjamin Netanyahu stems from competition with Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, which frequently leads or ties Likud in surveys, alongside bloc fragmentation that leaves the broader right-religious coalition short of 61 seats. Recent list submissions and threshold dynamics involving smaller parties such as Amcha Yisrael have introduced minor volatility but have not reversed Likud’s downward trend from its current 32 seats. Outlier polls showing 25-29 or higher remain less common, reflecting limited momentum for the incumbent amid divided opposition and undecided voters.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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