**Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 2026 Knesset election project Likud at 22–25 seats, down from its 32 seats in the 2022 election.** Multiple surveys from firms including Midgam, Yossi Tatika, Lazar, and Kantar in June 2026 show the party trailing its prior performance amid sustained voter fatigue after prolonged conflicts, economic pressures, and Netanyahu's ongoing corruption trials. Opposition alliances, including mergers involving Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, and rising support for figures like Gadi Eisenkot, have consolidated anti-incumbent votes, with anti-Netanyahu Zionist blocs often polling near or above the 61-seat majority threshold. Netanyahu's Likud has reaffirmed his candidacy, yet these trends have produced the current trader consensus reflected in the 82.5% implied probability for seat losses.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
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Oct 27, 2026
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Oct 27, 2026
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 2026 Knesset election project Likud at 22–25 seats, down from its 32 seats in the 2022 election.** Multiple surveys from firms including Midgam, Yossi Tatika, Lazar, and Kantar in June 2026 show the party trailing its prior performance amid sustained voter fatigue after prolonged conflicts, economic pressures, and Netanyahu's ongoing corruption trials. Opposition alliances, including mergers involving Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, and rising support for figures like Gadi Eisenkot, have consolidated anti-incumbent votes, with anti-Netanyahu Zionist blocs often polling near or above the 61-seat majority threshold. Netanyahu's Likud has reaffirmed his candidacy, yet these trends have produced the current trader consensus reflected in the 82.5% implied probability for seat losses.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,746วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 2026 Knesset election project Likud at 22–25 seats, down from its 32 seats in the 2022 election.** Multiple surveys from firms including Midgam, Yossi Tatika, Lazar, and Kantar in June 2026 show the party trailing its prior performance amid sustained voter fatigue after prolonged conflicts, economic pressures, and Netanyahu's ongoing corruption trials. Opposition alliances, including mergers involving Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, and rising support for figures like Gadi Eisenkot, have consolidated anti-incumbent votes, with anti-Netanyahu Zionist blocs often polling near or above the 61-seat majority threshold. Netanyahu's Likud has reaffirmed his candidacy, yet these trends have produced the current trader consensus reflected in the 82.5% implied probability for seat losses.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,746วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 2026 Knesset election project Likud at 22–25 seats, down from its 32 seats in the 2022 election.** Multiple surveys from firms including Midgam, Yossi Tatika, Lazar, and Kantar in June 2026 show the party trailing its prior performance amid sustained voter fatigue after prolonged conflicts, economic pressures, and Netanyahu's ongoing corruption trials. Opposition alliances, including mergers involving Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, and rising support for figures like Gadi Eisenkot, have consolidated anti-incumbent votes, with anti-Netanyahu Zionist blocs often polling near or above the 61-seat majority threshold. Netanyahu's Likud has reaffirmed his candidacy, yet these trends have produced the current trader consensus reflected in the 82.5% implied probability for seat losses.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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