The Israeli Knesset dissolved on schedule in July 2026 after completing a full four-year term for the first time since 1988, locking in the October 27 election date under existing law without requiring a dissolution bill. Coalition leaders, including Likud figures, have repeatedly affirmed no intent to advance or delay the vote, aligning with statutory timelines that include party list deadlines in early September and early voting abroad later in October. Recent polling shows a competitive contest between Prime Minister Netanyahu’s bloc and opposition parties led by figures such as Gadi Eisenkot, but no parliamentary moves or external shocks have disrupted the fixed calendar. Trader consensus at 95.8% for “Yes” reflects this procedural certainty, though a major security escalation or unforeseen legal ruling could still compress or extend the campaign window in the final weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว96% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 27, 2026
96% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 27, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Israeli Knesset dissolved on schedule in July 2026 after completing a full four-year term for the first time since 1988, locking in the October 27 election date under existing law without requiring a dissolution bill. Coalition leaders, including Likud figures, have repeatedly affirmed no intent to advance or delay the vote, aligning with statutory timelines that include party list deadlines in early September and early voting abroad later in October. Recent polling shows a competitive contest between Prime Minister Netanyahu’s bloc and opposition parties led by figures such as Gadi Eisenkot, but no parliamentary moves or external shocks have disrupted the fixed calendar. Trader consensus at 95.8% for “Yes” reflects this procedural certainty, though a major security escalation or unforeseen legal ruling could still compress or extend the campaign window in the final weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,898วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Israeli Knesset dissolved on schedule in July 2026 after completing a full four-year term for the first time since 1988, locking in the October 27 election date under existing law without requiring a dissolution bill. Coalition leaders, including Likud figures, have repeatedly affirmed no intent to advance or delay the vote, aligning with statutory timelines that include party list deadlines in early September and early voting abroad later in October. Recent polling shows a competitive contest between Prime Minister Netanyahu’s bloc and opposition parties led by figures such as Gadi Eisenkot, but no parliamentary moves or external shocks have disrupted the fixed calendar. Trader consensus at 95.8% for “Yes” reflects this procedural certainty, though a major security escalation or unforeseen legal ruling could still compress or extend the campaign window in the final weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,898วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...The Israeli Knesset dissolved on schedule in July 2026 after completing a full four-year term for the first time since 1988, locking in the October 27 election date under existing law without requiring a dissolution bill. Coalition leaders, including Likud figures, have repeatedly affirmed no intent to advance or delay the vote, aligning with statutory timelines that include party list deadlines in early September and early voting abroad later in October. Recent polling shows a competitive contest between Prime Minister Netanyahu’s bloc and opposition parties led by figures such as Gadi Eisenkot, but no parliamentary moves or external shocks have disrupted the fixed calendar. Trader consensus at 95.8% for “Yes” reflects this procedural certainty, though a major security escalation or unforeseen legal ruling could still compress or extend the campaign window in the final weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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